基于SPA-VFS的水库移民后期扶持效果评价研究  

Study on the Evaluation of Post Support Effect for Reservoir Resettlement Based on SPA-VFS

作　　者：蔡尊锦 姚凯文[1] CAI Zun-jin;YAO Kai-wen(School of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学水利与水电工程学院,北京102206

出　　处：《中国农村水利水电》2024年第11期133-139,共7页China Rural Water and Hydropower

摘　　要：进行水库移民后期扶持效果评价有利于全面了解政策实施情况,及时发现问题并提出纠正对策。针对目前大多数后期扶持效果评价方法存在的主观性较强、可能导致评价结果失真等问题,提出了一种基于集对分析-可变模糊集的水库移民后期扶持效果评价方法。首先,参考文献和专家意见构建了水库移民后期效果的评价指标体系;其次,使用数据场势能函数计算初始聚类中心,再利用K-means聚类法进行指标分级;然后,采用熵权法确定指标权重,将集对分析和可变模糊集进行耦合提出了水库移民后期扶持效果的评价方法;最后,使用提出的评价方法对广东省大中型水库移民后期扶持政策实施情况进行了实例分析。结果表明,该方法能客观地反映当地移民后期扶持的效果,评价结果较为合理、可信。研究结果可为政府相关部门及实施机构的科学决策提供参考。The evaluation on the effectiveness of post-resettlement support(PRS)policies for reservoir migrants is beneficial to comprehensive understanding of the implementation of policies,identification of problems in a timely manner,and proposal of corrective measures.An evaluation method of PRS effect is proposed based on set pair analysis and variable fuzzy set to solve the problems of strong subjectivity and possible distortion of evaluation results in most of the current evaluation methods of PRS effect.Firstly,an evaluation index system of PRS effect is constructed based on the literature and the opinions of experts.Secondly,the initial clustering center is calculated by using the potential energy function of the data field,and then the indexes are classified by using the K-means clustering method.Then,the entropy weight method is used to determine the index weight,and the set pair analysis and variable fuzzy set are coupled to evaluate the effectiveness of PRS.Finally,a case study is conducted on the implementation of PRS policies for large and medium-sized reservoir resettlement in Guangdong Province by using the proposed evaluation method.The results indicate that this method can objectively reflect the effectiveness of PRS for local immigrants,and the evaluation results are reasonable and credible.The research results can provide reference for scientific decision-making by relevant government departments and implementing agencies.

关 键 词：水库移民 后期扶持 集对分析 可变模糊集 效果评价 

分 类 号：TV62[水利工程—水利水电工程] D632.4[政治法律—政治学]