青年高学历流动人才的居留、落户意愿及其影响因素差异  

The Difference in Residence and Settlement Intention and Its Influencing Factors Among Young Highly-Educated Floating Population

作　　者：谢东虹 Xie Donghong(Center for Quality of Life and Public Policy Research,Shandong University,Qingdao 266237,China;School of Political Science and Public Administration,Shandong University,Qingdao 266237,China)

机构地区：[1]山东大学生活质量与公共政策研究中心,山东青岛266237 [2]山东大学政治学与公共管理学院,山东青岛266237

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2024年第11期135-144,155,共11页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：山东省社会科学规划项目“大龄农民工的回流决策及生计策略研究”(24DRKJ03),青岛市社会科学规划项目“青岛市青少年体质健康和心理健康促进研究”(QDSKL2301005)。

摘　　要：利用中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,探讨青年高学历流动人才的居留、落户意愿及其影响因素差异。研究发现:①青年高学历流动人才的落户意愿呈下降趋势,居留意愿则表现出上升趋势,落户意愿和居留意愿的差异日益扩大;②青年高学历流动人才的落户意愿同时受到城乡两栖生活能力及其对流入地经济预期和福利预期的影响,而青年高学历流动人才的居留意愿与个体特征、流动经历和主观感受的关系更加紧密;③尽管放开300万以下城市的落户限制对青年高学历流动人才的落户意愿有一定的提升作用,但受到经济预期和福利预期的驱使,青年高学历流动人才更愿意在特大城市以及超大城市等落户门槛高的城市落户。Based on China Migrants Dynamic Survey,this study discusses the difference in residence and settlement intention among young highly-educated floating population.The findings are as follows.①The settlement intention shows a downward trend,while the residence intention shows an upward trend,and the gap between the two is widening.②The settlement intention of young highly-educated floating population is influenced by their ability to live in both urban and rural areas and their expectations of the local economy and welfare,while the residence intention of young highly-educated floating population is more closely related to individual characteristics,migration experiences,and subjective feelings.③Although the relaxation of the hukou restriction for cities with population of less than 3 million has had a certain positive impact on the settlement intension of young highly-educated floating population,they are more likely to settle in cities with high hukou threshold,such as major cities and super-large cities,driven by their expectations of the local economy and welfare.

关 键 词：青年高学历流动人才 居留意愿 落户意愿 

分 类 号：C922[社会学—人口学]