China's transition to a low-carbon economy and climate resilience:The impact of sustainable modernization indicators  

中国向低碳经济转型与气候适应能力——可持续现代化指标的影响

作　　者：BEN AMARA Dhekra ZHU Qiankun QIAO Jiajun SAFRO Isaac REGMI Kalpana BEN AMARA Dhekra;朱乾坤;乔家君;SAFRO Isaac;REGMI Kalpana

机构地区：[1]The College of Geography and Environmental Science,Henan University,Kaifeng,475004,Henan,China [2]Key Laboratory of Geospatial Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River Regions(Henan University),Ministry of Education,Kaifeng,475004,Henan,China [3]National Demonstration Center for Environment and Planning(Henan University),Kaifeng,475004,Henan,China

出　　处：《Journal of Geographical Sciences》2024年第11期2145-2165,共21页地理学报（英文版）

基　　金：National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42371223,No.42401255。

摘　　要：While sustainability is widely recognized as a necessary path for development and climate change mitigation,there is no consensus on this concept’s goals and future aspirations.Advocates of a green economy believe that economic growth is a prerequisite for long-term progress and the modernization of society.This entails gradually transitioning to a more sustainable economy and addressing carbon emissions.Therefore,there is a need for the scientific community to investigate how different forms of modernization affect carbon emissions.This study examines the impact of modernization on carbon emissions in China,the world’s largest developing economy,focusing on five indicators of sustainable modernization:ecological modernization,agricultural modernization,digitalization,industrialization,and urbanization.The study analyzes data from 31 Chinese provincial-level regions between 2005 and 2020,using the GeoDetector technique to explore the effects of these indicators on carbon emissions.The spatial analysis reveals a distinct“core-periphery”structure of carbon emissions.The findings demonstrate that ecological modernization and digitalization contribute to reducing emissions.On the other hand,industrialization and urbanization have a positive influence on carbon emissions.Interestingly,agricultural modernization initially increases carbon emissions in the short term but has a diminishing effect in the long term.

关 键 词：sustainable modernization indicators carbon emissions climate change geographic indicators technique 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]