原保险保费收入对我国居民消费价格指数影响分析  

Analysis of the impact of original insurance premium income on the consumer price index in China

作　　者：陈宇欣 Chen Yuxin(Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Chongqing,400065)

机构地区：[1]重庆邮电大学,重庆400065

出　　处：《市场周刊》2024年第31期37-41,176,共6页Market Weekly

摘　　要：文章通过构建多变量线性回归模型,分析了各省市原保险保费收入对其居民消费价格指数的影响,研究结果表明,河北省、湖南省、黑龙江省、陕西省和山东省的原保险保费收入对其居民消费价格指数均有显著负向影响,没有省份呈现显著的正向影响。文章的创新点在于基于原保险保费收入对全国31个省市区的消费价格指数进行了系统分析和预测。模型在大部分省市预测效果较好,说明模型有助于各地政府和决策者制定更有针对性的宏观经济政策,维护经济的平稳运行。By constructing a multivariate linear regression model,this paper analyzes the impact of original insurance premium income on the Consumer Price Index(CPI)in various provinces and cities.The research results indicate that the original insurance premium income in Hebei,Hunan,Heilongjiang,Shaanxi,and Shandong Provinces all have a significant negative impact on their respective CPI,with no province showing a significant positive impact.The innovative aspect of this article lies in the systematic analysis and prediction of the CPI in 31 provinces and cities across China based on original insurance premium income.The model demonstrates good predictive performance in most provinces and cities,indicating its utility in assisting local governments and decision-makers in formulating more targeted macroeconomic policies to maintain economic stability.

关 键 词：消费价格指数 线性回归 预测 原保险保费收入 

分 类 号：F202[经济管理—国民经济] F015