数实融合演进中新质生产力发展路径——基于动态QCA的分析  

The Path of New Quality Productive Forces Generated in the Integration of Digital and Real Economy:An Analysis Based on Dynamic QCA

作　　者：胡海晨 赵瑞彤 杨濛 林巧华 Hu Haichen;Zhao Ruitong;Yang Meng;Lin Qiaohua(School of Economics and Management,Shihezi University,Shihezi 832000,China)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子832000

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2024年第22期37-47,共11页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(23BGL115)。

摘　　要：推动新质生产力向好向快发展,是新时代应对全球科技革命和产业变革新挑战、实现中国经济高质量发展的关键一步。基于复杂系统观,借助动态QCA方法,以中国内地30个省市自治区(西藏地区因数据不全,未纳入统计)为案例,分析2013—2022年数实融合路径演化与新质生产力涌现之间的关系。研究发现:(1)数字经济与实体经济中没有单个条件成为高新质生产力发展的必要条件;(2)汇总组态分析主要包括3条构成路径,分别为数字金融赋能型、全链路数字化升级型、高技术产业集聚型;(3)组间分析结果显示,汇总组态具备时序上的普适性,而新质生产力形成经历了由高技术产业集聚型向数字金融赋能型分化的演进过程;(4)组内分析结果表明,新质生产力的形成需要因地制宜,高技术产业集聚型组态适用于产业链尚未健全地区,数字金融发展较好地区能够较好地涌现新质生产力。Promoting the sound and fast development of new quality productive forces is a crucial step for China to respond to the new challenges of the global science and technology revolution and industrial transformation in the new era and achieve high-quality economic development.In the context of the digital era,the infiltration of digital technologies such as big data,artificial intelligence,and blockchain into the real economy has given rise to new models and industries such as smart manufacturing and digital agriculture,and changed the way traditional industries produce and operate.The integration of digital economy and real economy has become an important systemic base and strategic driving force for the development of new quality productive forces.However,infrastructure bottlenecks and uneven regional development limit the role of digital-physical integration in promoting the development of new quality productive forces.How to further promote the integration of digital economy with real economy,with a focus on developing new quality productive forces,is a key question that must be addressed at present.Existing research has addressed the role of economic activities generated in the process of digital-physical integration in promoting new quality productive forces,but it has not yet clarified how digital-physical integration can better form new quality productive forces.In fact,no single factor can adequately elucidate the intricate dynamics propelling the advancement of new quality productivity;thus,a broader perspective is essential for a more holistic understanding.While a one-size-fits-all approach is insufficient for guiding regions in selecting development drivers that align with their unique circumstances,necessitating further investigation into diverse pathways tailored to specific realities.Additionally,empirical research that systematically examines the evolution of data-physical integration and its qualitative influence on new quality productivity remains scarce.Considering the complex interactive effects

关 键 词：数实融合 新质生产力 动态QCA 复杂系统观 

分 类 号：F014.1[经济管理—政治经济学]