中日韩合作的结构性解读与战略再定位  

Structural Analysis and Strategic Repositioning of China-Japan-ROK Cooperation

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作  者:张暮辉 Zhang Muhui

机构地区:[1]韩国成均馆大学东亚系,首尔03063

出  处:《亚太安全与海洋研究》2024年第6期108-124,I0004,共18页Asia-Pacific Security and Maritime Affairs

基  金:韩国研究财团人文韩国(HK)研究项目“开放的东亚,人文韩国的愿景”(编号:NRF-2018S1A6A3A01023515)。

摘  要:自1999年以来中日韩合作已走过25个年头,其间充满曲折。近年来,国际关系学界越发关注“小多边主义”对地缘政治格局的塑造作用,而中日韩合作则构成了这样一组小多边框架。虽然三边合作模式存在灵活、高效等优点,但也存在一系列内部结构性弊端。具体来说,中日韩合作的脆弱性来自双边性的过剩与多边性的不足:三国往往倾向于通过双边外交进行协调和谈判,导致中日韩合作的收益被双边模式稀释和抵消;同时,双边冲突往往“溢出”至三边关系,导致中日韩高层会晤屡屡中断。未来中日韩合作需要进行战略上的重新定位,应聚焦于中日韩存在广泛共同利益的“弱政治领域”,坚持其“多边性”,特别是在双边关系发生摩擦时,通过三边外交协调实现对双边关系的重塑。Since the inauguration in 1999,the trilateral cooperation mechanism has been developing for over twenty-five years and has been filled with fluctuations.Recent literature has increasingly focused on the role of“minilateralism”in shaping geopolitical dynamics.China-Japan-ROK cooperation constitutes such a minilateral framework.Despite that trilateralism offering advantages such as flexibility and efficiency,it also faces a series of internal structural weaknesses.The fragility of China-Japan-ROK cooperation stems from an excess of bilateralism and a lack of multilateralism:the three countries tend to coordinate and negotiate through bilateral diplomacy,which dilutes and offsets the benefits of trilateral cooperation.In the meantime,bilateral conflicts often“spill over”into trilateral relations,leading to repeated interruptions of high-level trilateral meetings.Therefore,the future of trilateral cooperation requires a strategic rethinking:first,to focus on“low-politics”areas where the three countries share broad common interests;and second,to uphold its“multilateralism”by using trilateral diplomacy to reshape bilateral relations.

关 键 词:中日韩合作 三边框架 双边外交 区域合作 小多边主义 战略再定位 

分 类 号:D822[政治法律—政治学]

 

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