深圳2007-2023年旧工业区改造政策量化评价与实施成效评估  

Quantitative Evaluation of Shenzhen's old Industrial Zone Reconstruction Policy and Implementation Effectiveness Assessment from 2007 to 2023

作　　者：李云 徐佩姿 李嘉欣 LI Yun;XU Peizi;LI Jiaxin(School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Shenzhen University Head of Urban Planning Department;School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Shenzhen University Current;Zhongshan Municipal People's Government Development Research Center)

机构地区：[1]深圳大学建筑与城市规划学院城市规划系 [2]深圳大学建筑与城市规划学院 [3]中山市人民政府发展研究中心

出　　处：《世界建筑导报》2024年第5期28-34,共7页World Architecture Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(52078070)。

摘　　要：随着城市化进程加速,城市更新已成为城市建设发展的关键环节。旧工业区改造作为其中的重要组成部分,其政策与实施成效评价尚处于起步阶段,缺乏量化研究。文章以旧工业区改造活动较为丰富的深圳为例,在分析深圳工改政策演进历程及机制的基础上,构建PMC指数模型并对2007—2023年深圳颁布的35项旧工业区改造政策文本分阶段抽选代表性政策进行评价,并通过统计工改项目实施情况及其特征,运用GoogleEarth历史图像系统评估深圳旧工业区改造的实施成效。政策量化评估结果表明:(1)政策时效短,政策衔接性和系统性不够;(2)强调事前监督,忽视事后监管;(3)政府对改造后的实施效果缺乏评价;(4)政策中缺乏对公众意见的考虑。通过对政策实施成效评估总结出深圳工改项目实施的特点:(1)发展转型矛盾突出的街道成为工业更新改造高强度区;(2)地铁沿线更新改造活跃,商业办公为其改造首选;(3)大地块项目更新优势明显,实施率较高;(4)项目开发周期长,不同区开发进度差距明显。文章基于以上研究,提出针对深圳旧工业区改造的政策建议。With the acceleration of urbanization,urban renewal has become a key part of urban construction and development.As an important part of the transformation of old industrial areas,the evaluation of its policy and implementation effectiveness is still in its infancy and lacks quantitative research.The article takes Shenzhen,which is rich in old industrial transformation activities,as an example,and analyzes the evolution history and mechanism of Shenzhen's industrial transformation policies on the basis of constructing a PMC index model to evaluate the 35 old industrial transformation policies enacted in Shenzhen from 2007 to 2023 by sampling representative policies in phases,and evaluates the implementation of the industrial transformation projects and the implementation characteristics by counting the implementation situation and using the Google Earth historical image system to assess the implementation effectiveness of Shenzhen's old industrial area transformation.The results of the quantitative evaluation of the policies show that:(1)the policies are short-lived,and the policies are not sufficiently articulated and systematic;(2)the emphasis is on ex ante supervision,while ex post supervision is neglected;(3)the government lacks evaluation of the implementation effect after the transformation;and(4)there is a lack of consideration of public opinion in the policies.As for the evaluation of the implementation effectiveness of the policy,the characteristics of the Shenzhen industrial reform project are as follows:(1)The implementation effectiveness of the project is affected by both the policy and the market.(2)The overall implementation rate of the projects is low and the cycle is long;(3)There is a single way of market renewal,and the projects are distributed in a fragmented manner;(4)The implementation differences among districts are obvious,and the implementation effectiveness is not balanced.Finally,based on the above research,the article puts forward suggestions for Shenzhen's old industrial renewal policy.

关 键 词：旧工业改造 PMC指数 政策量化评价 实施成效 城市更新 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]