海洋智能预报发展应用及装备展望  

Equipment Development and Application Prospects of Ocean Intelligent Forecasting

作　　者：罗潇 周河宇 赵旻晟 潘州 梁祺 张文峰 LUO Xiao;ZHOU Heyu;ZHAO Minsheng;PAN Zhou;LIANG Qi;ZHANG Wenfeng(Military Deputy Bureau of Naval Equipment Department in Guangzhou Region,Guangzhou 510210,China;No.710 R&D Institute,CSSC,Yichang 443003,China;Qingjiang Innovation Center,Wuhan 430076,China;Tianjin Institute of Marine Instruments,Tianjin 300131,China;Guangzhou Shipyard International Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou 510382,China)

机构地区：[1]海军装备部驻广州地区军事代表局,广东广州510210 [2]中国船舶集团有限公司第七一〇研究所,湖北宜昌443003 [3]清江创新中心,湖北武汉430076 [4]天津航海仪器研究所,天津300131 [5]广船国际有限公司,广东广州510382

出　　处：《数字海洋与水下攻防》2024年第5期536-545,共10页Digital Ocean & Underwater Warfare

摘　　要：全球海洋预报大模型与大数据应用、气象预报模型发展密不可分,简述了基于深度学习的人工智能技术在气象预报、海洋预报中的应用和特点。重点报告了我国各科研机构在全球海洋预报大模型领域的研究现状。结果表明,当前在数据驱动建模、海洋大数据分析、海洋要素智能预报等领域研究达到世界领先水平,预报周期、关键预测准确率超过目前世界先进预报系统。最后,结合海洋强国战略,分析并展望了海洋智能预报在装备应用领域发展中存在的挑战,考虑海洋安全背景下针对数据处理和装备应用等方面的研究方向。The development of global ocean forecasting models is closely related to the application of big data and meteorological forecasting models.In this article,the application and characteristics of artificial intelligence technology based on deep learning in meteorological and ocean forecasting is briefly described.The article focuses on the research status of various scientific research institutions in China in the field of global ocean forecasting big models.The results indicate that current research in data-driven modeling,ocean big data analysis,and intelligent forecasting of ocean elements has reached a world leading level,with forecasting cycles and key prediction accuracy exceeding advanced forecasting systems in the world.Finally,based on the strategy of building a strong maritime nation,the challenges in the development of ocean intelligent forecasting in the field of equipment application are analyzed and discussed,and the research directions for data processing and equipment application in the context of maritime security are put forward.

关 键 词：海洋预报 智能预报 大模型 人工智能 

分 类 号：TP391.7[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]