两种汇率决定理论在中国的适用性分析  

Applicability analysis of two exchange rate determination Theories in China

作　　者：任行伟 陈月 Ren Xingwei;Chen Yue(School of Economics and Management,Huaibei Normal University,Huaibei Anhui 235000)

机构地区：[1]淮北师范大学经济与管理学院,安徽淮北235000

出　　处：《北方经贸》2024年第11期117-120,共4页Northern Economy and Trade

基　　金：淮北师范大学校级教研一般项目(2022xjxyj012);淮北师范大学质量工程项目(2021zlgc120);安徽省质量工程教研一般项目(2021jyxml343);淮北师范大学研究生教育教学改革研究项目(2023jgxm013)。

摘　　要：汇率作为国际贸易和国际金融领域重要的价格参照标准,对全球经贸稳定和金融发展有着极其重要的作用。文章是在《国际金融》教学过程中,对汇率决定的“相对购买力平价理论”和“抛补的利率平价理论”所呈现出的汇率与物价、利率之间的关系产生了疑问。为解答这个疑问,基于当前我国的宏观经济数据,采用时间序列分析研究方法,验证了两种汇率决定理论在中国的适用性问题,并据此提出相对应的研究思考。As an important price reference standard in the field of international trade and international finance,exchange rate plays an extremely important role in global economic and trade stability and financial development.In the course of teaching International Finance,the paper raises questions about the relationship between exchange rates,prices and interest rates presented by the relative purchasing power parity theory of exchange rate determination and the covered interest rate parity theory.In order to answer this question,based on the current macroeconomic data in China,this paper uses the time series analysis research method to verify the applicability of the two exchange rate determination theories in China,and puts forward corresponding research thoughts accordingly.

关 键 词：CPI 国民收入 广义货币供应量 汇率 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]