中国耕地-粮食丰裕度与居民收入的关系研究  

Study on the relationship between farmland&grain abundance and households'income in China

作　　者：杨人懿 杨子生[2,3] 钟昌标 杨诗琴[2,3] 曹琳琳 YANG Ren-yi;YANG Zi-sheng;ZHONG Chang-biao;YANG Shi-qin;CAO Lin-lin(School of Economics,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China;Institute of Land&Resources and Sustainable Development,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China;Institute of Targeted Poverty Alleviation and Development,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China)

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学经济学院,昆明650221 [2]云南财经大学国土资源与持续发展研究所,昆明650221 [3]云南财经大学精准扶贫与发展研究院,昆明650221

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2024年第11期2619-2638,共20页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(18VSJ023);国家自然科学基金项目(41261018,71673182)。

摘　　要：粮食安全乃是“国之大者”,然而在现实中却往往呈现出“产粮大县、经济穷县”“粮食产出多,农民收入低”等反常现象。针对现有“资源诅咒”研究中几乎未涉足粮食与耕地的话题、缺乏资源丰裕度对居民收入影响的定量实证分析等不足,采用省域和县域两种尺度相结合的分析方式,分别搜集了31个省(自治区、直辖市)2001—2021年和2843个县域2014—2021年的面板数据,进行中国耕地—粮食丰裕度与居民收入关系的实证检验。研究结果表明:粮食主产区的耕地—粮食丰裕度对农村和城镇居民可支配收入的抑制是客观存在的;耕地—粮食丰裕度分别对70%以上的省域农村和城镇居民以及56.81%和64.09%的县域农村和城镇居民的收入产生不同程度的抑制现象(含潜在抑制)。本文据此提出了破解耕地—粮食丰裕对居民收入抑制的对策建议。Food security is the most important for China.However,we often see abnormal phenomena such as"main grain-producing counties with low economic level",and"larger grain output with less income of farmers".In view of the lack of research on the resources curse of grain and farmland,and the lack of quantitative analysis of the impact of resource abundance on residents'income,in this paper,we use the method in combination of the provincial and county scale analysis to carry out the empirical test of China's relationship between farmland&grain abundance and households'income on the basis of collected respectively panel data of 31 provincial-level regions in 2001-2021 and 2843 counties in 2014-2021.The paper also analyzes the spatial difference of the suppression degree of the farmland&grain abundance on the income of the residents in the provincial and county scales,and reveals its influence mechanism by using econometric model.The results show that:(1)The farmland&grain of the main grainproducing areas has a significant suppression effect on the income of rural and urban residents.(2)The farmland&grain abundance has a different degree of suppression effect on the income of more than 70%of the rural and urban residents in the provincial scale,and 56.81%of the rural residents and 64.09%of the urban residents in the county scale,among which 8.58%of the rural residents and 10.06%of the urban residents in the counties reach the"serious suppression"and"extremely-serious suppression"levels.(3)The abundance of grain does not obviously promote the development of the primary industry in the main grain-producing areas,but increases the dependence of the primary industry on grain,and it also obviously inhibits the development of the sectors of the secondary and tertiary industries.Based on the above,this paper proposes countermeasures to solve the problem.

关 键 词：耕地—粮食丰裕度 居民收入 资源诅咒 实证检验 影响机制 

分 类 号：F323.211[经济管理—产业经济] F326.11F124.7