国内外应急医疗救治资源短缺风险预警研究现状和趋势  

Research status and trend of emergency medical treatment resources shortage risk warning at home and abroad

作　　者：熊昌娥 赵瑜飞 彭欣怡 王洪元 XIONG Chang'e;ZHAO Yufei;PENG Xinyi;WANG Hongyuan(School of Public Health,Wuhan University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,Hubei Province,430065,PRC)

机构地区：[1]武汉科技大学公共卫生学院,湖北省武汉市430065 [2]武汉科技大学卫生政策跨学科研究中心,湖北省武汉市430065 [3]武汉科技大学医学院,湖北省武汉市430065

出　　处：《中国医院》2024年第12期2-6,共5页Chinese Hospitals

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(23YJAZH166);国家自然科学基金(71503075)。

摘　　要：医疗救治资源短缺是全球重大传染病疫情下死亡率激增的首要因素。对医疗救治资源进行界定的基础上,回顾了国内外医疗救治资源短缺风险预警的现状、方法及应用,医护人员、普通床位、ICU床位和呼吸机是医疗救治资源预警的主要对象,人工智能构建仿真模型和组合方法是进行医疗救治资源预测的新趋势,科学的预警方法和技术是避免短缺风险的有效措施。国内有必要支持开展重大传染病疫情下医疗救治资源短缺风险预警理论和方法研究。The shortage of medical treatment resources is the primary factor for the surge of mortality under global major epidemic.Based on the definition of medical treatment resources,the present situation,methods and applications of medical treatment resources shortage risk early warning at home and abroad were reviewed.Doctors,nurses,general beds,ICU beds and ventilators are the main objects of early warning of medical treatment resources.Artificial intelligence building simulation model and combination method is a new trend for medical resource prediction.Scientific early warning method and technology are effective measures to avoid shortage risk.It is necessary to support the research on the theory and method of early warning of the shortage of medical treatment resources under major epidemic in China.

关 键 词：重大疫情 应急医疗 医疗救治资源 风险预警 

分 类 号：R197.3[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]