中国式现代化的整体性推进与区域性差异——历史进程回顾与2035年展望  

Overall Progress and Regional Differences in Chinese Modernization:A Historical Review and Outlook for 2035

作　　者：胡鞍钢[1,2,3,4] 张泽邦 周绍杰[2] Hu Angang;Zhang Zebang;Zhou Shaojie

机构地区：[1]清华大学 [2]清华大学公共管理学院 [3]清华大学国情研究院 [4]清华大学国家治理与全球治理研究院

出　　处：《社会科学辑刊》2024年第6期85-96,F0002,234,共14页Social Science Journal

基　　金：清华大学自主科研计划(2022THZWYY01);清华大学文科建设“双高”计划创新专项课题(2021TSG08303)。

摘　　要：中国是一个区域发展差异甚大的国家,推进中国式现代化进程必须考虑各个地区在推进现代化建设过程中的区域性差异,因此回顾和总结中国式现代化的历史进程对于深刻理解其内涵并准确把握未来的发展趋势至关重要。总体来看,中国的人均GDP在过去的30多年中整体实现了快速增长,不仅由世界银行标准下的低收入国家水平跃升至中高收入国家水平,而且占美国人均GDP的比值由不足5%提升到28%。同时,中国的现代化进程也存在着明显的区域性差异,这种区域性差距出现了先扩大后缩小的变动情况。结合历史发展经验和当前发展态势进行展望,中国完全有能力实现到2035年基本实现现代化的历史目标。General Secretary Xi Jinping has emphasized that promoting Chinese modernization must be regarded as a paramount political priority.This serves as a fundamental requirement for China’s future development.However,given the significant disparities in regional development across the country,the process of advancing Chinese mo⁃dernization must also consider these regional differences.Therefore,examining the historical trajectory of Chinese modernization is essential for a profound understanding of its significance and for accurately grasping future deve⁃lopmental trends.Over the past 30 years,China’s per capita GDP has experienced rapid growth,transforming from a low-income country to an upper middle-income country according to World Bank classifications,and increasing its per capita GDP ratio to that of the U.S.from less than 5 percent to 28 percent.Concurrently,China’s moderniza⁃tion process exhibits notable regional disparities,which have initially expanded before subsequently narrowing.Based on historical development and current dynamics,China is fully capable of achieving the goal of basic moder⁃nization by 2035.

关 键 词：中国式现代化 区域差异 人均GDP 2035年展望 中等发达国家 

分 类 号：D61[政治法律—政治学]