可持续发展视角下浙江省城市水资源生态盈亏时空分异研究  

Spatial and temporal differentiation of urban water resources ecological profit and loss for sustainable development in Zhejiang

作　　者：樊艳翔 雷社平[2] 解建仓[3] FAN YanXiang;LEI ShePing;XIE JianCang(College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;School of Public Policy and Management,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710072,Shaanxi,China;School of Water Resources and Hydropower,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]北京大学城市与环境学院,北京100871 [2]西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院,陕西西安710072 [3]西安理工大学水利水电学院,陕西西安710048

出　　处：《城市地质》2024年第4期413-424,共12页Urban Geology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51679188)资助。

摘　　要：随着浙江省经济社会的不断发展,水资源消耗量不断增加,而水资源可持续发展能力深刻影响着经济社会的发展与进步,深入探究水资源利用问题意义重大。文章旨在分析浙江省水资源生态盈亏状况,进而探讨其水资源可持续发展能力,以便更好地识别水资源利用存在的问题,为地方水资源管理提供一定的理论支撑与决策依据。基于可持续发展视角纳入人口因素,使用人均水资源承载力模型、人均水资源生态足迹模型以及人均水资源生态盈亏模型,分析浙江省2011—2020年城市水资源生态盈亏时空分异规律及水资源可持续发展能力。结果表明:①浙江省人均水资源承载力总体较高,但时间演变波动性较大;人均水资源生态足迹整体呈现下降趋势,人均水资源生态盈亏状况长期为盈余。②浙江衢州、杭州、宁波一直为水资源生态盈余状态,但随着时间的推进,杭州、宁波这种盈余状态有所减弱;嘉兴、湖州、绍兴、舟山、台州长期以来整体处于水资源生态亏损状态,但这种亏损状态近年来有向好趋势;③水资源可持续发展能力整体呈现由西南向东北减弱的空间分布格局。④水资源可持续发展能力整体良好,但时间演变波动性极强,且城市水资源可持续发展能力两极分化较为严重,舟山市、绍兴市、嘉兴市、湖州市、台州市5地可持续发展能力为负值。由此可见,浙江省水资源可持续发展问题深刻影响着其社会经济发展命脉,各地区要积极贯彻绿色发展理念。With continuous development of Zhejiang Province's economy and society,there is growing consumption of water resources,which in turn affects the economic and social development and progress.It is of profound significance to carry out indepth research of water resources utilization.This paper aims to analyze the ecological profit and loss of water resources in Zhejiang Province,and discuss its sustainable development ability,so as to better identify existing problems and provide theoretical support and decision-making basis for local water resources management.Based on the perspective of sustainable development and population factors,this paper analyzes the spatial-temporal differentiation of urban water resources ecological profit and loss and sustainable development capacity of water resources in Zhejiang Province from 2011 to 2020 by using the water resources carrying capacity model,water ecological footprint model and water resources ecological profit and loss model per capita.The results show that:①The per capita carrying capacity of water resources in Zhejiang Province during that period was generally high,but the temporal evolution fluctuated greatly;The per capita water ecological footprint showed a downward trend as a whole,and the per capita water resources ecological profit and loss was a surplus for a long time.②Zhejiang Quzhou,Hangzhou and Ningbo had always been in ecological surplus state of water resources,but this surplus state weakened with the advance of time.Jiaxing,Huzhou,Shaoxing,Zhoushan and Taizhou had been in a state of ecological loss of water resources for a long time,but this state of loss showed a positive trend in recent years.③The overall sustainable development capacity of water resources showed a spatial distribution pattern weakening from southwest to northeast.④The sustainable development capacity of water resources was generally good,but the time evolution was highly variable,and the sustainable development capacity of urban water resources was more polarized,and the sust

关 键 词：浙江省 可持续发展 人均水资源生态盈亏 时空分异 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]