“强省会”战略的产业升级效应——基于省会城市行政区划调整的准自然实验  

Industrial structure upgrading effect of building a strong capital:A quasi-natural experiment of provincial capital administrative division adjustment

作　　者：王鹤[1] 王钧艺 Wang He;Wang Junyi(School of Business and Center for High-quality Regional Economic Development,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan 411201,Hunan,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学商学院/区域经济高质量发展研究中心,湖南湘潭411201

出　　处：《地理科学》2024年第11期1988-1996,共9页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(23BJY245)资助。

摘　　要：“强省会”战略是提高省会城市综合竞争力的重要抓手,而产业结构是衡量一个城市综合竞争力的核心指标。基于2003—2020年中国26个省会城市的面板数据,依托省会城市行政区划调整的准自然实验,运用双重差分模型科学评估“强省会”战略的产业升级效应。研究结果表明,行政区划调整显著促进了省会城市产业升级,但这种促进效应只能持续3 a。机制检验显示,行政区划调整将通过缓解资源约束瓶颈和提高技术创新水平2种渠道带动省会城市产业升级。进一步分析发现,相较于行政区合并而言,撤县设区对省会城市产业升级的促进作用更强;相对于副省级省会城市和多中心空间布局模式下的省会城市而言,普通省会城市和单中心空间布局模式下的省会城市在行政区划调整后获得更大的产业升级效应。The strategy of“strengthen provincial capital”is an important point to improve the comprehensive competitiveness of provincial capital,and the industrial structure is the core index to measure the comprehensive competitiveness of a city.So,can the administrative division adjustment,which is the most direct means of the strategy of“strengthen provincial capital”,promote the upgrading of the industrial structure of the provincial capital?Based on the panel data of 26 provincial capital cities in China from 2003 to 2020,this paper uses the difference-in-differences method(DID)to find that the administrative division adjustment under the strategy of“strengthen provincial capital”has a significant role in upgrading industrial structure,but the driving effect of administrative division adjustment on upgrading industrial structure of provincial capital was only 3 years.The mechanism test shows that the administrative territorial entity adjustment will through both easing the bottleneck of resource constraints and improving the level of technological innovation to promote the industrial upgrading of provincial capital cities.Specifically,compared with the merger of administrative regions,the promotion of the industrial upgrading of provincial capital cities is stronger;compared with the vice-provincial cities or the multi-center layout mode in a province,the industrial structure upgrading effect after the administrative division adjustment of the general provincial capital cities or the single-center layout mode in a province is more obvious.

关 键 词：“强省会”战略 行政区划调整 产业升级 双重差分法 

分 类 号：F019.6[经济管理—政治经济学]