脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴有效衔接背景下脱贫县发展类型与路径  

Identifying development types and paths of poverty-eliminated counties for the effective connection between poverty alleviation and rural revitalization

作　　者：柴力行 蔡勃伟 黄耿志[1,2] Chai Lixing;Cai Bowei;Huang Gengzhi(School of Geography and Planning,Sun Yat-Sen University,Guangzhou 510006,Guangdong,China;Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai),Zhuhai 519000,Guangdong,China)

机构地区：[1]中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广东广州510006 [2]南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东珠海519000

出　　处：《地理科学》2024年第11期1997-2006,共10页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42122007,41930646);广东省自然科学基金项目(2024A1515010939)资助。

摘　　要：针对脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴有效衔接时期脱贫县发展研究的不足,本文基于地理资本的理论视角,采用随机森林和耦合协调模型方法测评了脱贫县的地理资本,识别了过渡时期脱贫县的发展重点、类型和路径。研究表明:①脱贫县的地理资本水平总体上呈现自东南向西北递减的空间差异格局,经济−社会地理资本和社会−生态地理资本失调现象较显著,失调县数量占比分别达到62.8%和56.4%,且多表现为社会地理资本制约。②识别出以防止区域性返贫为发展重点的脱贫县326个、5种发展类型,主要连片式分布于胡焕庸线西北侧的高寒山区和干旱荒漠地带;识别出以全面推进乡村振兴为发展重点的脱贫县426个、6种发展类型,主要分布在胡焕庸线东南侧。③促进各类地理资本的耦合协调推动脱贫县的持续发展,对于防止返贫的脱贫县,应当加大外部支持,突破地理资本间相互低水平制约的困境;对于全面乡村振兴的脱贫县,应当重点提升社会地理资本,将经济发展转化为民生福祉。In response to the shortcomings of research on the development of poverty-eliminated counties during the period of effective connection between poverty alleviation and rural revitalization,this article,based on the theoretical perspective of geographical capital,uses random forest and coupling coordination model methods to evaluate the geographical capital of poverty-eliminated counties,and identifies the development priorities,types,and strategies of poverty-eliminated counties during the transitional period.Findings are shown as follows.First,the geographical capital level of poverty-eliminated counties generally shows a decreasing spatial difference pattern from southeast to northwest.The phenomenon of imbalances in economic and social geographical capital,as well as social and ecological geographical capital,is relatively significant,with the proportion of incongruous counties accounting for 62.8%and 56.4%.Most of these counties are constrained by social geographical capital.Second,it is identified that 326 of poverty-eliminated counties should take preventing the return of regional poverty as priority while 426 of them should take promoting rural revitalization as priority during the transition period.The former counties is divided into 5 sub-types with different development strategies,which are mainly located in the central and western regions on the northwest side of Hu Line;the latter is divided into 6 types,which are mainly located on the southeast side of Hu Line.Third,it is suggested that promoting positive interaction of various geographical capital is important for the sustainable development of poverty-eliminated counties.For the poverty-eliminated counties with preventing the return of regional poverty as priority,external support should be strengthened to break through the dilemma of low-level constraints from geographical capital;for those counties which take promoting rural revitalization as the development priority,emphasis should be placed on the enhancement of social geographical capital and

关 键 词：脱贫攻坚 乡村振兴 脱贫县 地理资本 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]