2023年全球油气及伴生资源勘探形势与发展趋势展望  

Analysis of the current status of global oil,gas,and associated resources exploration in 2023

作　　者：温志新[1] 王建君[1] 王兆明[1] 贺正军[1] 宋成鹏[1] 陈瑞银[1] 刘小兵[1] 季天愚 李祖欣 WEN Zhixin;WANG Jianjun;WANG Zhaoming;HE Zhengjun;SONG Chengpeng;CHEN Ruiyin;LIU Xiaobing;JI Tianyu;LI Zuxin(PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration&Development,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油勘探开发研究院,北京100083

出　　处：《石油勘探与开发》2024年第6期1267-1279,共13页Petroleum Exploration and Development

基　　金：中国石油天然气集团有限公司重大科技专项“基于多重地质属性溯源定位的全球六类盆地油气成藏规律研究”(2023ZZ07-01);“基于大数据的常规油气可采资源智能化评价技术研发”(2023ZZ07-02);“非常规油气技术可采资源差异化升级评价技术研究”(2023ZZ07-03);“低碳背景下油气勘探资产技术经济商务一体化评价技术研究”(2023ZZ07-05)。

摘　　要：基于标普全球、睿咨得等商业数据库及全球油公司的公开信息,对2023年全球油气勘探投资、勘探区块授予、探井、常规油气新发现、油气伴生资源勘探现状等方面进行了系统分析。结果表明:2023年全球油气勘探投资稳中有升、区块授予数量和面积大幅增加;高影响力探井数量和成功率的下降,直接影响了2023年全球油气新发现储量的规模;与近年被动大陆边缘盆地深水领域是常规大—中型油田发现的主战场有所不同,2023年海陆新发现储量平分秋色,成熟探区精细勘探成效显著。各油公司持续布局非常规油气勘探,并加快进入天然氢和氦等油气伴生矿产资源等新兴产业。建议中国油公司跨国勘探业务:①坚持油气上游勘探投资,强化上游业务,坚定油气战略地位;②坚持油气勘探,继续布局深水被动陆缘盆地,深耕成熟盆地,紧跟热点盆地、抢占前沿盆地;③坚持融合发展,常规和非常规油气并举,布局油气伴生资源;(4)坚持科技创新,研发核心技术,持续推进人工智能。Based on commercial databases from S&P Global and Rystad Energy and public information from oil companies around the world,a systematic analysis has been conducted on the global hydrocarbon exploration investment,award of exploration blocks,exploratory drilling,new conventional oil and gas discoveries,and exploration of associated resources in 2023.In 2023,the global hydrocarbon exploration investment increased steadily and the total number and area of awarded exploration blocks increased significantly.The decline in the number and success rate of high-impact exploration wells directly affected the quantity of additional oil and gas reserves discovered globally in 2023.In recent years,the deepwater areas of passive margin basins have been the major targets for seeking medium-and large-sized conventional oil and gas fields.In 2023,however,the newly discovered onshore reserves were equivalent to the newly discovered offshore reserves,and fine exploration in mature blocks achieved significant results.Oil companies continued to plan and perform unconventional oil and gas exploration activities and accelerated access to associated mineral resources such as natural hydrogen and helium and other emerging industries.For Chinese oil companies international exploration business,it is recommended to:(1)continue the upstream investment to strengthen upstream services for consolidating the strategic position of oil and gas resources;(2)uphold oil and gas exploration activities by further deploying exploration activities in the deepwater areas of passive margin basins,deeply exploring mature basins,closely following hotspot basins,and gaining access to frontier basins;(3)follow the principle of integrated development to plan the exploration of associated resources while exploiting conventional and unconventional resources;and(4)make technological innovations to develop and improve core technologies and promote the application of artificial intelligence.

关 键 词：勘探投资 油气勘探形势 油气发现 成熟盆地 非常规油气 油气伴生资源 

分 类 号：TE122.2[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]