工业机器人应用与家庭消费结构升级——基于创收水平与社会网络冲击视角的分析  

Application of Industrial Robots and Upgrading of Household Consumption Structure:From the Perspectives of Income Level and Social Network Impact

作　　者：叶劲松[1] 方嘉彬 黄远浙[1] 朱艺蕾 Ye Jinsong;Fang Jiabin;Huang Yuanzhe;Zhu Yilei(Business School,Ningbo University,Zhejiang Ningbo 315211,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《上海财经大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2024年第5期75-91,共17页Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD111);国家社会科学基金重点项目(22AJY014)。

摘　　要：随着工业机器人技术的快速发展和广泛应用,家庭消费决策变动背后的技术性因素日益引发关注。文章基于2010—2020年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,以家庭消费结构变动为切入点,探究了工业机器人应用对中国家庭消费的深远影响。研究发现,工业机器人应用抑制了家庭消费结构升级,尤其减少了发展型和享受型消费,影响机制包括家庭创收水平下降和社会网络双重收缩。细分消费支出类型结果发现,家长在内部教育资源配置中倾向于削减自身的人力资本投资以增加子女教育投入,期望子女能更好地应对未来的技术冲击。异质性检验结果显示,工业机器人应用在不同的家庭背景、劳动市场条件和区域会因技术进步偏向呈现出显著差异。进一步分析发现,电子商务进农村综合示范政策缓解了机器人应用导致的就业问题,通过支持返乡创业和就近就业,改善了家庭消费结构。研究结论深化了对工业机器人应用经济后果的认识,并为消费结构优化提供了新视角与实践指导。With the rapid development and wide application of industrial robots,technological factors behind the changes in household consumption decisions have attracted increasing attention.Based on the data of 2010-2020 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),this paper systematically explores the impact of the application of industrial robots on household consumption structure by taking the change of household consumption structure as an entry point.The study shows that the application of industrial robots hinders the upgrading of household consumption structure,which is mainly manifested in the reduction of the proportion of development and enjoyment consumption,and the influence mechanism involves the weakening of household income-generating capacity and the double contraction effect of social networks.The results of segmenting consumption expenditure types show that,in the face of the competitive pressure brought by robots,parents tend to cut their own investment in human resources to increase the investment in their children's education in the internal allocation of educational resources as a defense strategy against future technological impact.Heterogeneity analysis shows that significant differences are presented in different family backgrounds and labor market conditions and regions due to technological progress bias.In further analysis,the National Rural E-commerce Comprehensive Demonstration Policy mitigates to some extent the localized employment problems caused by robot applications,and indirectly moderates the unfavorable trend of the suppressed household consumption structure by encouraging and supporting the migrant worker groups to return to their hometowns to start their own businesses and find employment in their neighborhoods.This paper deepens our understanding of the economic consequences of industrial robot applications and provides valuable theoretical references and practical guidance on how to effectively counteract the negative impact of robot applications on consumption capacity and enhance the intern

关 键 词：家庭消费结构 工业机器人应用 电子商务 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]