长江经济带城市生态旅游发展水平时空演变趋势  

Trends in the spatial and temporal evolution of the level of urban ecotourism development in the Yangtze river economic belt

作　　者：赵婧彤 王兆峰[2] ZHAO Jingtong;WANG Zhaofeng(School of Tourism,Jishou University,Zhangjiajie 427000,Hunan,China;School of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,Hunan,China)

机构地区：[1]吉首大学旅游学院,湖南张家界427000 [2]湖南师范大学旅游学院,湖南长沙410081

出　　处：《中南林业科技大学学报》2024年第11期155-164,共10页Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41771162)。

摘　　要：【目的】城市生态旅游是环境风险挑战背景下推动城市地区生态化建设和旅游可持续发展的有效途径。【方法】文章选取长江经济带110个地级市为研究区,运用熵权TOPSIS、核密度估计、时空马尔科夫链等方法,探析2011-2022年城市生态旅游发展水平时空演变格局并预测其未来的发展趋势。【结果】研究发现:1)时空分布特征上,长江经济带城市生态旅游发展水平整体呈逐年提高的“双峰”型分布,但依然处于起步阶段,优化潜力较大。空间上,城市生态旅游发展以上海、南京、重庆等为中心向邻近城市逐级递减,显示出鲜明的圈层式空间结构。2)时空转移规律上,长江经济带城市生态旅游发展水平呈现朝高等级状态发展的转移态势,但其转移的流动性较差,短期内难以实现跃迁式向上转移。地理领域背景深刻影响着长江经济带城市生态旅游发展水平的转移,空间溢出效应显著。3)长期演变趋势上,长江经济带大部分地级市持续稳定朝较高水平目标向上转移,呈现从低至高次第增加的演进态势,此时“俱乐部趋同”效应将不复存在。【结论】长江经济带城市生态旅游发展潜力较大,其发展应建立在环境保护治理和资源合理利用的基础之上,同时恪守宏观整体性原则,不断探索行之有效的生态旅游发展模式。【Objective】Urban ecotourism is an effective way to promote ecological construction and sustainable tourism development in urban areas against the backdrop of environmental crisis concerns.【Method】The paper took 110 cities at district level along the Yangtze River economic belt for the investigation region,and adopts the methodology of entrepot weight TOPSIS,kernel density estimation,spatio-temporal Markov chain,etc.,so as to explore the space-time evolving pattern of the city’s ecotourism level of development in the period of 2011-2022 and to forecast its further trend.【Result】The research discovered that:1)Spatial and temporal distribution characteristics,the overall ecotourism development level of cities in the Yangtze River economic belt showed a“bimodal”distribution of yearly improvement,but was still in the initial stage,with a greater potential for optimization.Spatially,the development of urban ecotourism in Shanghai,Nanjing,Chongqing and other provincial administrative units as the center to the neighboring cities by decreasing,revealing a distinctive spatial structure of the circle.2)On the law of space-time onward transfer,the ecotourism degree of growth of cities in the Yangtze River economic belt showed a transfer trend toward a high-level state,but the mobility of its transfer was poor,and it was difficult to realize a leaping upward transfer in the short term.The background of geographic area profoundly influences the transfer of ecotourism development level across cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,with obvious spatial spilling over effects.3)With regard to the evolutionary trend over time,a large number of cities at the level of the Yangtze River economic belt would continue to move upward toward the higher level of the target steadily,showing the evolution trend of increasing from low to high,at which time the“club convergence”effect will no longer exist.【Conclusion】The development potential of urban ecotourism in the Yangtze River economic belt is large,and its d

关 键 词：城市生态旅游 时空马尔科夫链 时空演变 趋势预测 长江经济带 

分 类 号：S788.2[农业科学—林学]