反舰导弹突防水面舰艇多层防空体系效能评估  

Effectiveness Evaluation of Anti-ship Missiles Penetrating Multilayer Air Defense System of Surface Ship

作　　者：肖轩 李松阳 王多治 田宗浩 XIAO Xuan;LI Songyang;WANG Duozhi;TIAN Zonghao(Army Academy of Artillery and Air Defense,Hefei 230031)

机构地区：[1]陆军炮兵防空兵学院,合肥230031

出　　处：《舰船电子工程》2024年第10期17-20,36,共5页Ship Electronic Engineering

摘　　要：针对使用反舰导弹打击水面舰艇时存在的使用数量难以确定、打击效果难以预先评估的问题,利用马尔可夫链理论和状态转移方程,建立反舰导弹突破多层防空体系模型,动态评估x枚反舰导弹突破敌水面舰艇所有防空体系后的“状态”,预测打击效果,确定要实现作战目标所需反舰导弹的最佳数量,为复杂情况下反舰导弹突防制定合理的火力计划。In view of the problems that it is difficult to determine the number of anti-ship missiles used to attack surface ships and to evaluate the strike effect in advance,this paper proposes to use Markov chain theory and state transfer equation,and the model of anti-ship missile breaking through multi-layer air defense system is established to dynamically evaluate the "State" of x anti-ship missile after breaking through all air defense systems of enemy surface ships,so as to determine the optimal number of anti-ship missiles needed to achieve the combat objectives,and the reasonable fire plan is made for penetration of anti-ship missile in complex situation.

关 键 词：反舰导弹 多层防空体系 马尔可夫链 状态转移 效能评估 

分 类 号：TJ410[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]