中国与RCEP成员国水产品贸易发展特征与路径研究  

Research on the Development Characteristics and Path of Aquatic Products Trade between China and RCEP Countries

作　　者：刘文[1] 杨宜晨 LIU Wen;YANG Yichen

机构地区：[1]山东大学商学院,威海264200

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2024年第11期127-144,共18页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“RCEP对亚太区域价值链重构的影响机制及应对策略研究”(编号:22&ZD177)。

摘　　要：近年来,中国与RCEP其他成员国水产品贸易依存度不断提高。基于2013—2022年水产品进出口数据,本文对中国与RCEP其他成员国水产品贸易发展特征进行分析,研究发现,中国与RCEP其他成员国水产品贸易规模和种类均呈上升趋势;竞合关系测度显示,中国水产品竞争优势中等,与RCEP其他成员国贸易互补性较强,但也存在有限竞争关系。SMART模型结果表明,关税削减有效促进了中国与RCEP其他成员国的水产品贸易,贸易创造效应十分显著。RCEP的实施降低了中国与RCEP其他成员国水产品贸易成本、提高了贸易效率、扩大了合作规模,然而,市场竞争、企业规则适应能力、非关税壁垒和地缘政治问题等,也使其面临挑战。为促进与RCEP成员国水产品贸易发展,中国应依据水产品竞合特征制定差异化发展路径,提高水产品竞争力,并加强互补性水产品合作。企业应充分挖掘RCEP政策红利,加大域内投资生产布局。In recent years,the overall trade interdependence of aquatic products has been increasing between China and RCEP countries.Based on the trade data from 2013 to 2022,this paper analyzes the characteristics of the development of aquatic products trade between the two sides.The research finds that the scale and species of aquatic products trade have been on an upward trend.Competitiveness and complementarity analyses show that China's competitive advantage in aquatic products is medium,with strong complementarity with other member countries,but also with limited competition.SMART model shows that tariff reductions have effectively promoted aquatic products trade between China and other RCEP members,with significant trade creation effects.The implementation of RCEP will reduce the cost of aquatic products trade,improve trade efficiency,and expand the mode of cooperation.However,market competition,the ability to adapt to RCEP rules,non-tariff barriers,and geopolitical issues also make it challenging.To promote the development of aquatic products trade with RCEP countries,China should formulate a differentiated development path based on the competitive and complementary characteristics of aquatic products,improve product competitiveness,and strengthen cooperation on complementary products.Enterprises should fully explore the dividends of RCEP,and increase the investment and production distribution of aquatic industry within the region.

关 键 词：区域全面经济伙伴关系协定 水产品贸易 竞争性和互补性 SMART模型 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.7F742