城市韧性与城市土地利用效率耦合协调发展及其影响因素--以长江经济带为例  

Coupling and Coordinated Development of Urban Resilience and Urban Land Use Efficiency and the Influencing Factors:A Case study of Yangtze River Economic Belt

作　　者：毕佳港 林树高 诸培新[1,2] BI Jia-gang;LIN Shu-gao;ZHU Pei-xin(School of Public Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China;China Institute of Resources,Environment and Development,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210095 [2]南京农业大学中国资源环境与发展研究院,江苏南京210095

出　　处：《长江流域资源与环境》2024年第11期2315-2328,共14页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(22VRC163);教育部哲学社会科学研究后期资助项目(19JHQ093);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX24_1008)。

摘　　要：精准识别城市韧性与城市土地利用效率的耦合协调情况,对推动长江经济带城市高质量发展和区域协调发展具有重要的现实意义。运用耦合协调模型、核密度估计、探索性空间数据分析法及Tobit模型,深入探究了2010~2019年长江经济带城市韧性与城市土地利用效率的耦合协调水平、空间相关性及其驱动因素。研究表明:(1)长江经济带城市韧性水平表现出波动增长态势,呈现“东西高、中心低”空间格局;城市土地利用效率逐年上升,且区域差异明显。(2)长江经济带城市韧性与城市土地利用效率的耦合协调度呈现逐年增长的演变态势,在空间上表现出以重庆、武汉、上海等城市为中心向外层扩散辐射,呈现多中心、多圈层的特征。(3)长江经济带城市韧性与城市土地利用效率的耦合协调度存在显著的空间集聚性,但集聚性逐年减弱,高值集聚区主要集中于长江经济带下游近沪地区,低值集聚区集中在皖北地区和四川东北部地区。(4)经济发展水平、政府财政支出水平、环境治理水平、科技创新水平及对外开放水平对城市韧性与城市土地利用效率耦合协调发展具有显著的促进作用,人口密度则具有显著的抑制作用。基于上述结论,提出政策建议,以期为促进城市韧性与城市土地利用效率的良性互动,实现长江经济带高质量发展建言献策。Accurately identifying the coupling coordination between urban resilience and urban land use efficiency has practical implications for promoting high-quality development of cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and regional coordinated development.In this study,we utilized coupling coordination models,kernel density estimation,exploratory spatial data analysis and Tobit model to investigate the coupling coordination level,spatial correlation,and driving factors of urban resilience and urban land use efficiency in the cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2010 to 2019.Our findings indicated that:(1)Urban resilience exhibited a fluctuating growth trend,with an"east-west high,center low"spatial pattern;urban land use efficiency was increasing annually,with significant regional differences.(2)The coupling coordination degree between urban resilience and urban land use efficiency showed an increasing trend,and presented a multicenter,multi-circle feature radiating outward from cities of Chongqing,Wuhan,and Shanghai.(3)There was a significant spatial agglomeration of the coupling coordination degree between urban resilience and urban land use efficiency,but the agglomeration was weakening annually.The area of high value clustering was mainly concentrated in downstream of the Yangtze River Economic Belt near Shanghai,while the low value clustering area was concentrated in the northern Anhui and north-eastern Sichuan regions.(4)The level of economic development,government fiscal expenditure,environmental governance,technological innovation,and openingup had a significant promoting effect on the coupling and coordinated development,while population density had a significant inhibitory effect.Based on the above conclusions,some policy suggestions were put forward in order to promote the positive interaction between urban resilience and urban land use efficiency to achieve high-quality development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

关 键 词：城市韧性 城市土地利用效率 耦合协调度 空间相关性 影响因素 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]