新发展格局下长江中游城市群物流业与商贸业耦合协调发展研究  

Coupling Coordination of Logistics Industry and Commerce Industry in the Middle Reaches of Yangtze River City Agglomeration Under the New Development Pattern

作　　者：李燕[1,2] 王克强 黄晶 LI Yan;WANG Ke-qiang;HUANG Jing(School of Business,Jianghan University,Wuhan 430056,China;Manufacturing Industry Development Research Center on Wuhan City Circle,Jianghan University,Wuhan 430056,China)

机构地区：[1]江汉大学商学院,湖北武汉430056 [2]江汉大学武汉城市圈制造业发展研究中心,湖北武汉430056

出　　处：《长江流域资源与环境》2024年第11期2356-2368,共13页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72171102);江汉大学武汉城市圈制造业发展研究中心项目;江汉大学校级研究项目(2021yb085,2022XZD04)。

摘　　要：基于2016~2021年长江中游城市群31市面板数据,构建评价指标体系测度物流业与商贸业(两业)发展水平,建立耦合协调度模型测度两业协调发展水平,运用Dagum基尼系数和核密度估计方法分析两业协调发展水平的空间差异程度及动态演进特征。研究发现:(1)研究期内长江中游城市群的商贸业发展水平明显滞后于物流业,但二者发展水平均呈正向增长趋势;(2)长江中游城市群两业协调水平不高,处于中度失调阶段,但耦合协调度处于正向增长的趋势,两业协调发展水平排序呈现长株潭都市圈>武汉都市圈>南昌都市圈的分布格局;(3)长江中游城市群两业协调发展水平的地区内差异程度表现出缩小趋势。两业协调发展水平空间差异的主要来源是超变密度,其次是地区内差异,地区间差异贡献率最小;(4)长江中游城市群及三大都市圈两业协调发展水平均存在不同幅度的上升趋势。南昌都市圈和武汉都市圈内部无明显极化现象,长株潭都市圈在样本初期出现双峰现象,到样本末期逐渐演变为单峰,内部的两极分化特征在整体上趋于弱化。Based on the panel data of 31 cities in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River from 2016 to 2021,an evaluation index system was constructed to measure the development level of logistics industry and commerce industry.A coupled coordination degree model was established to measure the coordinated development level of the two industries.Dagum Gini coefficient and nuclear density estimation method were used to analyze the spatial difference degree and dynamic evolution characteristics of the coordinated development level of the two industries.The findings were as follows:(1)The development level of the commercial and trade industries lagged behind that of the logistics industry,but the development levels of both were in a positive growth trend;(2)The coordination level of the two industries was not high and was at the stage of moderate imbalance.The coupling coordination degree was in the trend of positive growth,and the coordinated development level of the two industries showed the distribution pattern of Chang-Zhu-tan metropolitan area>Wuhan metropolitan area>Nanchang metropolitan area.(3)The degree of regional differentiation of the coordinated development level showed a decreasing trend.The main source of the spatial difference of the coordinated development level was at a super-variable density,followed by intra-regional difference,and the contribution rate of inter-regional difference.(4)The coordinated development levels of the urban agglomerations and the three metropolitan areas showed an upward trend.There was no obvious polarization in Nanchang metropolitan area and Wuhan metropolitan area,while Chang-Zhu-Tan Metropolitan area showed a double-peak phenomenon at the early stage and gradually changed into a single-peak.The internal polarization tended to weaken in general.

关 键 词：物流业 商贸业 协调发展 Dagum基尼系数 核密度估计 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]