高铁与旅游业包容性发展研究——基于2003—2020年284个地区面板数据  

High-speed rail and the inclusive development of tourism:a study on panel data of 284 regions from 2003 to 2020

作　　者：王猛[1] 王博琳 WANG Meng;WANG Bolin(International Business School,Shanxi Normal University,Xi an 710119,China)

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学国际商学院,西安710119

出　　处：《华中师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2024年第6期700-710,共11页Journal of Central China Normal University：Natural Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(BFA220177).

摘　　要：高铁能否促进地区间旅游业的包容性发展,这一问题缺乏实证研究.借助高铁开通的自然实验,该文考察高铁对旅游业的影响在不同经济水平、行政等级、公路和机场状况、旅游资源的地区间的差异.利用2003—2020年284个地级及以上行政区的面板数据,构造双重差分(DID)模型实施因果推断,发现高铁对旅游业的促进作用在经济水平落后、行政等级低、公路和机场状况差的地区更为强烈,在旅游资源不同的地区间无显著差异,该结论在此后的系列分析中保持稳健.上述结果表明高铁对促进弱势地区的旅游业发展更为有利,能实现地区间旅游业的包容性发展.该文研究结论为推动弱势地区的旅游业发展带来政策启示.There is a lack of empirical research on whether high-speed rail can promote inclusive development of inter-regional tourism.With the help of a natural experiment on the opening of high-speed rail,this study compares the impact of high-speed rail on tourism in the regions with different economic levels,administrative levels,highway and airport conditions,and tourism resources.Based on the panel data of 284 administrative regions at and above the prefecture level from 2003 to 2020,the difference-in-difference(DID)model is constructed to implement causal inference.It is found that the positive impact of high-speed rail on tourism is stronger in the areas with backward economic level,low administrative level,poor highway and airport conditions,while there is no significant difference among regions with different tourism resources,and these conclusions remain stable in a series of subsequent analyses.The above results show that high-speed rail is more beneficial to tourism in disadvantaged areas,and can achieve inclusive development of inter-regional tourism.The conclusions of this paper provide policy implications for promoting the development of tourism in disadvantaged areas.

关 键 词：包容性发展 高铁 旅游业 

分 类 号：F532[经济管理—产业经济] F592