Global,regional,and national burden of upper respiratory infections,1990–2021:findings from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021  

作　　者：Shun-Xian Zhang Yu-Juan Liu En-Li Tan Guo-Bing Yang Yu Wang Xiao-Jie Hu Ming-Zi Li Lei Duan Shan Lv Li-Guang Tian Mu-Xin Chen Fan-Na Wei Qin Liu Yan Lu Shi-Zhu Li Pin Yang Jin-Xin Zheng 

机构地区：[1]Longhua Hospital,Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Shanghai 200032,China [2]NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology,WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases,National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases,National Institute of Parasitic Diseases,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention(Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research),Shanghai 200025,China [3]Jinshan Hospital,Fudan University,Shanghai 201508,China [4]Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Lanzhou 730000,Gansu,China [5]Gansu Province People's Hospital,Gansu Provincial Hospital,Lanzhou 730000,Gansu,China [6]Georgia Institute of Technology,North Avenue Atlanta,GA 30332,United States [7]School of Global Health,Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research-Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine,Shanghai 200025,China

出　　处：《Science in One Health》2024年第1期221-228,共8页全健康科学（英文）

基　　金：supported by the fund of Shanghai Natural Science Foundation(grant number 23ZR1464000);the Talent Fund of Longhua Hospital affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine(grant number LH001.007).

摘　　要：Background:Upper respiratory infections(URIs)are common infectious diseases worldwide.Accurate and timely assessment of the disease burden of URIs is crucial for governments to develop comprehensive prevention and control strategies,and to allocate and utilize healthcare resources more efficiently.Methods:For URIs in Global Burden of Disease(GBD)2021 database,age-standardized incidence rates(ASIR),age-standardized prevalence rates(ASPR),age-standardized mortality rates(ASMR),disability-adjusted life-years(DALYs),and case numbers for incidence,prevalence,deaths,and DALYs across the globe,five socio-demographic index(SDI)regions,21 geographical regions,and 204 countries and territories were provided and analyzed.Trends from 1990 to 2021 were described using the average annual percentage change(AAPC),and future URIs burden was projected with a Bayesian age-period-cohort(BAPC)model.Results:From 1990 to 2021,there was a significant decline in global ASIR(APCC=-289.86,95%confidence interval[CI]:-298.59 to-281.12),ASPR(AAPC=-4.04,95%CI:-4.16 to-3.92),ASMR(AAPC=-0.02,95%CI:-0.02 to-0.03)and age-standardized DALY rate(AAPC=-0.75,95%CI:-0.76 to-0.74).The ASIR,ASPR,ASMR,and age-standardized DALY rate were high in elderly for both males and females,and both genders.Similarly,the number of incident cases,prevalence cases,deaths,and DALY cases for URIs was highest in children under five years.The ASMR and age-standardized DALY rate exhibited a negative correlation with SDI across 204 countries and territories in 2021.The ASIR and ASPR for URIs will show an upward trend from 2022 to 2050,while ASMR and age-standardized DALY rate are expected to decline.Low birth weight for gestation remains the leading contributor to deaths related to URIs.

关 键 词：Global Burden of Disease 2021 Upper respiratory infections BAPC One Health 

分 类 号：R81[医药卫生—放射医学]