区域经济发展与中国居民的政治文化变迁——基于全国调查与县/区匹配数据的分析  

Regional Economic Development and the Change of Political Culture: An Empirical Study of the Fourth Wave of Asian Barometer Survey

作　　者：吕书鹏[1] 王莹 LYU Shupeng;WANG Ying(School of Public Policy and Administration,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an 7100049,China;School of Public Administration and Policy,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院,陕西西安710049 [2]中国人民大学公共管理学院,北京100872

出　　处：《西安交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第6期110-120,共11页Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University：Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BZZ079);国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CZZ010);陕西省创新能力支撑计划项目(2017KRM011)。

摘　　要：基于全国调查与县/区匹配数据,结合现代化理论与文化变迁理论,实证分析了区域经济发展对中国民众的政治文化变迁的影响。研究结果表明:第一,与经济欠发达地区相比,经济发达地区居民传统(权威主义)及新传统政治文化(集体主义与国家主义)水平更低,而现代政治文化(强调平等、权利与法治)更高一些;第二,区域经济发展水平并不直接影响人们的政治文化,而是通过提升人们的收入水平、教育水平和互联网使用频率等中介变量来实现这种影响;第三,民主观是现代政治文化中唯一随着经济发展水平的提高不增反降的价值观,可能的解释是更高的教育和互联网使用频率使得发达地区居民更多地将“民主”这一概念认定为“西式民主”,而欠发达地区居民则将其认定为“人民当家作主”。如果将上述静态观察引入动态视角,随着时间的推移,中国民众的主流政治文化将逐渐从原来的传统和新传统政治文化转变为现代政治文化,但其中在民主观方面,可能形成与西方民主价值相区别的中国特色人民民主价值观。Based on the data of the Fourth Wave of Asian Barometer Survey (ABS 2015), combined with modernization theory and cultural change theory, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of the level of economic development on the change of political culture. The results indicate that: (1) The basis of political culture in China is changing quietly with the development of economic level, and the political culture/values held by people will change from the traditional (authoritarian) and neo-traditional political culture (collectivism and nationalism) to a more modern culture pursuing equal rights and rule of law;(2) The level of regional economic development does not directly affect people’s political culture, but through mediating variables such as raising people’s income level, education level, and frequency of internet use;(3) The value of democracy is the only value in modern political culture that decreases rather than increases with the level of economic development, possibly explained by the fact that higher levels of education and internet access make residents of developed regions identify the concept of “democracy” more as Western-style democracy, while residents of less developed regions identify it as people’s democracy. If the above static observation is introduced into a dynamic perspective, it is reasonable to believe that, the mainstream political culture of our people will gradually change from the original traditional and neo-traditional political culture to a modern political culture over time. However, in terms of democratic value, it is possible to form democratic values of the people with Chinese characteristics that are distinct from Western democratic values.Compared with the previous literature, this paper expands in the following three aspects: first, it is different from the existing studies that focus on the changes of individual or a few political values. In order to more comprehensively explore the impact of economic development on specific political cultures at different stages

关 键 词：区域经济发展 政治文化 文化变迁 现代化理论 价值观 民主观 

分 类 号：D621[政治法律—政治学] F124[政治法律—中外政治制度]