“双碳”目标下中美体育用品进出口贸易及对碳排放的影响  

The Import and Export Trade of Sporting Goods between China and the United States and the Impact on Carbon Emissions under the"Double Carbon"Goal

作　　者：曾梓铭 魏德样[1] 张文静[1] ZENG Ziming;WEI Deyang;ZHANG Wenjing(School of Physical Education and Sport Science,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou Fujian 350117)

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学体育科学学院,福建福州350117

出　　处：《成都体育学院学报》2024年第6期79-88,共10页Journal of Chengdu Sport University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“基于新结构经济学的中国式体育产业高质量发展研究”(23ATY002)。

摘　　要：研究“双碳”目标下体育用品进出口贸易对碳排放的影响,对于推动中国体育产业高质量发展、助力碳达峰碳中和目标实现具有深刻的现实价值。文章以中美贸易为切入点,基于中国海关贸易数据,运用贸易额和标准化赫芬达尔系数刻画中美体育用品进出口贸易特征,并借助ARDL-ECM模型探索贸易如何对碳排放产生影响。结果表明:(1)从贸易格局看,中美体育用品贸易长期处于巨大的贸易顺差,总体呈现“体育器材>体娱用品>运动鞋服”的贸易规模特征。体育用品进出口产品结构具有多元化、稳定性的双重特征,尤以体育器材最为明显。(2)从贸易的碳排放影响看,中美体育用品进口和出口规模增加的碳排放作用相似,均具有短期碳减排和长期碳增排的双重效应。贸易产品多元化有利于提高能源效率从而促进碳减排,但产业结构低度化是体育用品贸易低碳化的主要障碍。(3)具体从产品类别看,除了体育器材出口贸易与碳排放变化之间不存在协整关系外,其余产品的进出口贸易对于长、短期层面的碳减排均能有所助益,但所属行业不同导致作用情况存在差异。Studying the impact of sporting goods import and export trade on carbon emissions under the"Double Carbon"goal is of profound practical value in promoting the high-quality development of China's sports industry and helping to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality by reaching peak carbon.Taking Sino-U.S.trade as the entry point,based on Chinese customs trade data,we use trade volume and standardized Herfindahl coefficients to portray characteristics of Sino-U.S.sporting goods trade,and use ARDL-ECM model to explore how the trade has an impact on carbon emissions.The results show that:(1)From the trade pattern,Sino-U.S.trade of sporting goods has been in a huge trade surplus for a long time,and the overall trade scale characteristic of"sports equipment>sports entertainment goods>sports shoes and clothing".(2)As for the carbon emission impact of trade,the carbon emission effects of the increase in the scale of imports and exports of Sino-U.S.sporting goods are similar,both of which have the dual effect of short-term carbon emission reduction and long-term carbon emission increase.Trade product diversification is conducive to improving energy efficiency and thus promoting carbon emission reduction,but low industrial structure is the main obstacle to low carbonization of sporting goods trade.(3)From the perspective of product categories,except that there is no cointegration relationship between the export trade of sports equipment and the change of carbon emissions,the import and export trade of other products can contribute to the long-term and short-term carbon emissions reduction,but different industries lead to different effects.

关 键 词：体育用品 进出口贸易 碳排放 贸易规模 产品结构 ARDL-ECM模型 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]