碳-电-绿证市场耦合下的发电企业交易决策行为研究  

Research on Transaction Decision-making Behavior of Power Generation Enterprises Under the Coupling of Carbon-electricity-green Certificate Market

作　　者：黄艾熹 王俐英 曾鸣[1] 祝金荣 HUANG Aixi;WANG Liying;ZENG Ming;ZHU Jinrong(School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《电力科学与工程》2024年第12期1-13,共13页Electric Power Science and Engineering

基　　金：国家重点研发计划资助项目(2021YFB2400700)。

摘　　要：火电企业和新能源发电企业是碳–电–绿证市场的主要参与者,研究其在这3个市场协同耦合机制下的交易决策行为,将有助于了解未来传统能源结构的变化趋势及新能源的环境价值变现。通过构建价格传递机制,分析了碳–电–绿证市场之间的协同关系,并利用系统动力学模型与市场平衡分析方法,评估了市场耦合对发电企业交易决策的影响。主要结论包括:火电企业碳排放成本越来越高,将推动企业自主节能减排;新能源发电装机容量将快速增长,助力节能减排;电价将保持稳定。Thermal power enterprises and new energy generation enterprises are the main participants in the carbon-electricity-green market,and the study of their transaction decision-making behavior under the synergistic coupling mechanism of the three markets will help understand the future trends of traditional energy structure changes and the environmental value realization of new energy.The synergistic relationship between the carbon-electricity-green markets is analyzed by constructing a price transmission mechanism,and the impact of market coupling on transaction decision-making of power generation enterprises is evaluated using system dynamics models and market equilibrium analysis methods.The main conclusions include:firstly,the cost of carbon emissions for thermal power enterprises is increasing,which promotes the independent energy conservation and emission reduction of enterprises;secondly,the installed capacity of new energy generation will grow rapidly,helping to save energy and reduce emissions;thirdly,the electricity price will remain stable.

关 键 词：协同耦合机制 碳价 系统动力学 交易决策行为 

分 类 号：TK-9[动力工程及工程热物理] F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]