中国共同富裕水平:地区差异和影响因素  

Common Prosperity Level in China:Regional Differences and Influencing Factors

作　　者：陈梦根[1] 郑珺宁 杨旋 王堉人 CHEN Meng-gen;ZHENG Jun-ning;YANG Xuan;WANG Yu-ren(School of Statistics,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China)

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学统计学院,北京100875

出　　处：《统计学报》2024年第6期1-17,共17页Journal of Statistics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“数据要素促进共同富裕的理论机制与实践路径研究”(23&ZD082);北京市自然科学基金面上项目“北京市数字经济高质量发展水平测度、路径选择与治理体系研究”(9232012)。

摘　　要：从富裕和共同维度构建共同富裕统计评价指标体系,采用熵值法测算和分析2010—2021年中国30个省份的共同富裕水平及子维度得分,并利用Dagum基尼系数研究共同富裕水平的演进特征及地区差异。综合采用静态面板模型和空间面板模型,分析中国省份共同富裕的影响因素,并探究影响因素的空间溢出效应。研究发现:中国省份共同富裕水平整体呈上升趋势;不同省份间的共同富裕水平差距逐渐缩小;产业结构高级化、科学技术水平、直接税占比与市场化进程对省份共同富裕水平存在促进作用;科学技术水平和直接税占比对临近省份共同富裕水平存在促进作用,而周边省份产业结构高级化和市场化进程对本省共同富裕水平存在阻碍作用。This paper constructed a statistical evaluation indicator system for common prosperity from the dimensions of affluence and commonality,and then employed the entropy method to measure and analyze common prosperity level and its sub-dimension scores for 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2021.Additionally,the Dagum Gini coefficient was utilized to investigate the evolutionary characteristics and regional disparities in common prosperity level.The study comprehensively adopted both static and spatial panel models to analyze the influencing factors of common prosperity across Chinese provinces and explored the spatial spillover effects of these factors.Research findings were as follows.Firstly,the overall level of common prosperity across China’s provinces has shown an upward trend.Secondly,the gap in common prosperity among different provinces was progressively narrowing.Thirdly,advanced industrial structure,scientific and technological development,the proportion of direct taxes,and the progress of marketization had a promoting effect on common prosperity level within provinces.Finally,scientific and technological development,and the proportion of direct taxes,also positively influenced the common prosperity level of neighboring provinces.Conversely,advanced industrial structure and progress of marketization in neighboring provinces had a hindering effect on common prosperity level within a given province.

关 键 词：共同富裕 产业结构高级化 科学技术水平 直接税占比 市场化进程 物质生活富裕 精神文化富裕 机会平等 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]