制造业高质量发展:分布动态与城市群差异  

High-Quality Development of Manufacturing Industry:Distribution Dynamics and Urban Agglomeration Differences

作　　者：张国建 褚翠翠 胡玉梅 ZHANG Guo-jian;CHU Cui-cui;HU Yu-mei(Joint Research Institute,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing 211815;School of Business,Anhui University of Technology,Ma’anshan 243032;School of Finance,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing 211815,China)

机构地区：[1]南京审计大学联合研究院,江苏南京211815 [2]安徽工业大学商学院,安徽马鞍山243032 [3]南京审计大学金融学院,江苏南京211815

出　　处：《统计学报》2024年第6期31-49,共19页Journal of Statistics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(72203100);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2023SJYB0354);安徽省社会科学创新发展研究项目(2023CX032)。

摘　　要：创新性地构建中国制造业高质量发展综合评价指标体系,测度中国城市制造业高质量发展的真实水平,并分析其分布动态、城市群差异及收敛性。研究发现:第一,在城市间发展差异不断缩小的同时指数较高的城市仍然保持领先优势,且四大区域的分布动态表现不一;第二,引入空间因素后,俱乐部收敛现象仍然存在,且状态转移更多发生在相邻类型之间;第三,总体差异呈“平缓下降-平缓上升-急速下降”的趋势特征,结构差异中创新驱动和绿色生态交替成为主要来源;第四,除中部地区外,全国及其他区域均不存在明显的σ收敛,同时全国和四大区域均存在绝对和条件β收敛。This paper innovatively constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for the high-quality development of China’s manufacturing industry,aiming to measure the actual level of high-quality manufacturing development in China’s cities,and analyze its distribution dynamics,urban agglomeration differences,and convergence.The findings were as follows.Firstly,while the development gap between cities was continuously narrowing,cities with higher indices still maintained their leading advantages,and the distribution dynamics varied across the four major regions.Secondly,after introducing spatial factors,the phenomenon of club convergence still existed,and state transitions more frequently occurred between adjacent types.Thirdly,the overall difference showed the trend characteristic of“gentle decline-gentle rise-sharp decline”,where innovation-driven and green ecology alternately have become the main sources of structural differences.Fourthly,except for the central region,there was no significantσconvergence in the rest of the country and other regions,while absolute and conditionalβconvergence existed both nationwide and in the four major regions.

关 键 词：制造业高质量发展 制造业数字化 分布动态 城市群差异 创新驱动 增长动能 绿色生态 成果共享 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]