基于IPCC方法学的“电-碳”碳排放测算模型  

“Electric-carbon”carbon emission measurement model based on IPCC methodology

作　　者：王振坤 樊静雨 常英贤 王鹏 穆聪聪 WANG Zhenkun;FAN Jingyu;CHANG Yingxian;WANG Peng;MU Congcong(State Grid Shandong Electric Power Company Economic and Technological Research Institute,Jinan 250021,China;State Grid Shandong Electric Power Company,Jinan 250000,China)

机构地区：[1]国网山东省电力公司经济技术研究院,济南250021 [2]国网山东省电力公司,济南250000

出　　处：《自动化与仪器仪表》2024年第10期101-105,共5页Automation & Instrumentation

基　　金：山东省基金项目;国网山东省电力公司基金资助项目(520626220018)。

摘　　要：全球气温变暖带来许多危害,坚持可持续发展理论发展低碳经济是十分重要的,因此,对于“电-碳”碳排放量的测算备受重视。但传统的测算方法成本较高,且测算过程十分复杂,针对该问题,研究提出以联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会方法学为基础,设计“电-碳”碳排放测算模型。研究结果表明,模型根据现有数据预测城市未来碳排量峰值,在不同情况下,城市碳排放峰值出现在2025年、2030年、2035年、2040年、2045年、2050年,且在2025年时,能源部门、生产过程、废物处理这三个方面的碳排放量分别为5000万吨、2600万吨、3000万吨。该模型不仅能对城市碳排放量进行准确测算,还能通过结合节能政策进行碳排放预测,且能根据目标值制定城市各个方面碳排放量,实现城市多元化的治理方式。Global temperature warming brings many hazards,it is very important to adhere to the theory of sustainable development to develop low carbon economy,so the measurement of“electricity-carbon”carbon emissions has attracted much attention.However,the traditional calculation method is expensive and the calculation process is very complex.In view of this problem,the study proposes to design the“electricity-carbon”carbon emission calculation model based on the methodology of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.The results show that the model predicts the peak carbon emission in the future based on the existing data.In different cases,the peak carbon emission in 2025,2030,2040,2030,2045,2040 and 2050.In 2025,the carbon emissions of the energy sector,production process and waste treatment are 50 million tons,26 million tons and 30 million tons respectively.The model can not only accurately measure the urban carbon emissions,but also predict the carbon emissions by combining energy saving policies,and formulate the urban carbon emissions of all aspects according to the target value,so as to realize the diversified urban governance model.

关 键 词：碳排放 IPCC 电煤 火力发电 

分 类 号：TQ116.3[化学工程—无机化工] TP29[自动化与计算机技术—检测技术与自动化装置]