区域服务贸易壁垒对中国制造业产出服务化的效应研究——以CAFTA为例  

A Study on the Effect of Regional Service Trade on the Servicification of China′s Manufacturing Output--Taking CAFTA as an Example

作　　者：陈秀莲[1] 赵富全 郑安淇 CHEN Xiulian;ZHAO Fuquan;ZHENG Anqi(Guangxi University,China-Asean School of Ecomonics,Nanning,China,530004)

机构地区：[1]广西大学中国—东盟经济学院,广西南宁530004

出　　处：《财经理论研究》2024年第6期51-64,共14页Journal of Finance and Economics Theory

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72263002)。

摘　　要：基于世界投入产出表分析中国制造业产出服务化,发现中国对东盟国家产出服务量年均增长贡献率比中国对世界和对国内产出服务量平匀增长贡献率高,进一步分析发现,虽然中国制造业对东盟国家的产出服务化水平非常低,但在CAFTA2.0升级议定书签订后,中国制造业对东盟大部分国家的产出服务化水平上升,其中对新成员国的产出服务化水平增长速度远超老成员国。在上述分析现状的基础上,本文探究了CAFTA区域内服务贸易壁垒对中国制造业产出服务化的效应机理,运用关税等值法测度CAFTA区域内服务贸易实际壁垒水平,运用中介机制效应和调节机制效应模型实证验证了CAFTA服务贸易壁垒向中国制造业对东盟产出服务化的效应及影响路径。Through the analysis of servicification of China′s manufacturing output the based on World Input-Output Table,it is found that the annual growth rate of China′s output services to ASEAN is higher than that to the world and domestic markets.Further analysis reveals that the level of servicification of China′s manufacturing output to ASEAN is very low.However,after the signing of the CAFTA 2.0 Protocol,the level of servicification of China′s manufacturing output to most ASEAN countries has increased,with the growth rate of output services to new member countries far exceeding that of the old member countries.Building on the current analysis,this study explores the mechanism by which service trade barriers within the CAFTA region affect the servicification of China′s manufacturing output.The actual level of service trade barriers within the CAFTA region is measured using the tariff equivalent method,and the effects and impact pathways of CAFTA service trade barriers on servicification of China′s manufacturing output to ASEAN are empirically verified using mediating mechanism effect and moderating mechanism effect models.

关 键 词：CAFTA 服务贸易壁垒 中国 东盟 制造业产出服务化 

分 类 号：F40[经济管理—产业经济] F74