中国特色油料产业贸易特征及发展趋势分析  

Analysis on trade characteristics and development trend of China's specific oilseed crops industry

作　　者：李孝忠[1,2] 马春蕊 肖雪 张雯丽 LI Xiao-zhong;MA Chun-rui;XIAO Xue;ZHANG Wen-li(School of Economics and Management,Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin 150030,China;Heilongjiang Institute of Green Food Science,Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin 150028,China;Rural Economic Re-search Center,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Beijing 100810,China)

机构地区：[1]东北农业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150030 [2]东北农业大学黑龙江省绿色食品科学研究院,黑龙江哈尔滨150028 [3]农业农村部农村经济研究中心,北京100810

出　　处：《中国油料作物学报》2024年第6期1213-1221,共9页Chinese Journal of Oil Crop Sciences

基　　金：国家特色油料产业技术体系“十四五”重点项目(CARS-14-32-01);现代农业产业技术体系项目(CARS-14-1-32-1);国家社科基金(21BGL286)。

摘　　要：基于2002-2021年特色油料的贸易数据,利用GL指数、BI指数和Thom&McDowell指数对葵花籽、芝麻和胡麻产业贸易特征进行分析,总结我国特色油料产业贸易的主要形式。利用面板Tobit模型分析产业内贸易的影响因素,并据此提出保障我国特色油料产业安全的对策建议。结果表明:近二十年内,我国特色油料产业贸易以产业间贸易为主,并且,产业间贸易是产生贸易增量的主要源泉。产业内贸易构成中,垂直型产业内贸易水平大于水平型产业内贸易水平。通过对影响产业内贸易因素的实证分析得知,消费偏好差异、产品差异和贸易距离,对特色油料产业内贸易有显著的影响。为提高我国特色油料产业贸易水平,稳定产业间贸易,提升产业内贸易,建议从提高特色油料的国内有效供给水平、实行差异化发展战略、提高我国特色油料产业的抗风险能力和国际竞争力等方面综合施策,协调产业政策与贸易政策有效衔接,保障我国特色油料产业安全,促进产业健康持续发展。Based on the trade data of specific oilseed crops from 2002 to 2021,this paper analyzes the trade characteristics of sunflower seeds,sesame seeds and oil flax seeds by using GL index,BI index and Thom&McDow⁃ell index,and then summarizes the main forms of specific oilseed crops industry trade in China.The influencing ele⁃ments of intra-industry trade are examined using a panel Tobit model,and appropriate countermeasure recommen⁃dations are made to ensure the security of China′s specific oilseed crops business.The results indicate that in recent twenty years,the trade of China′s specific oilseed crops industry is mainly inter-industry trade,and it is the primary source of trade increment.In the composition of intra-industry trade,the level of vertical intra-industry trade is greater than that of horizontal intra-industry trade.Through the empirical analysis of the factors affecting intra-in⁃dustry trade,it is known that the differences in consumption preferences,products and trade distance have a signifi⁃cant impact on intra-industry trade of specific oilseed crops.In order to improve the trade level of China′s specific oilseed crops industry,stabilize inter-industry trade and promote intra-industry trade,it is suggested that compre⁃hensive measures should be taken to improve the domestic effective supply level of specific oilseed crops,imple⁃ment differentiated development strategy,enhance the anti-risk ability and international competitiveness of China′s specific oilseed crops industry,coordinate the effective connection between industrial policy and trade policy,ensure the safety of China′s specific oilseed industry and promote its healthy and sustainable development.

关 键 词：特色油料 特色油料产业 产业内贸易 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易] F121.3[经济管理—产业经济]