下一个“乌克兰”?俄乌冲突背景下哈萨克斯坦的命运  

The Fate of Kazakhstan in the Backdrop of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict:The Next“Ukraine”?

作　　者：艾依努·那扎别克 Aiyinu Nazhabieke(University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学,北京100029

出　　处：《黑河学院学报》2024年第12期17-21,37,共6页Journal of Heihe University

摘　　要：自苏联解体以来,俄罗斯对哈萨克斯坦发起了一波波舆论战。独立之初,哈萨克斯坦北部三州的大量俄罗斯族人口改变了该国民族结构,导致国内主体民族和俄罗斯族的关系恶化,俄语地位问题已成为一个棘手的议题。哈萨克斯坦人口在2023年11月突破了2000万的大关,这一重要里程碑不仅标志着该国人口的增长,也凸显了对哈萨克语发展的迫切需求。在俄乌冲突背景下,俄罗斯各界人士涉哈领土舆论变得愈发激烈,进一步升级了两国间的舆论战,使得局势变得更加复杂和紧张,引起了国际社会对哈萨克斯坦可能面临“乌克兰化”风险的担忧。在这种背景下,哈俄两国关系似乎表现得忽远忽近。Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union,Russia has launched several waves of information warfare against Kazakhstan.In the early years of independence,the large Russian-speaking population in the northern regions of Kazakhstan altered the country’s ethnic structure,leading to tensions between the indigenous Kazakh population and ethnic Russians.The issue regarding the status of the Russian language has become a contentious topic.In November 2023,Kazakhstan’s population surpassed the 20 million mark,a signifi cant milestone that not only refl ects the country’s demographic growth but also highlights the urgent need for the development of the Kazakh language.In the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine confl ict,public opinion concerning Kazakhstan’s territorial integrity has become increasingly intense in Russia,which escalates the information warfare between the two countries,makes the situation more complex and tenser,and sparks concerns in the international community about the potential risk of Kazakhstan facing a“Ukrainianization”scenario.Against this backdrop,the relationship between Kazakhstan and Russia appears to fl uctuate between closeness and distance.

关 键 词：哈萨克斯坦 俄罗斯 俄罗斯族人 舆论战 

分 类 号：D81[政治法律—国际关系]