我国物流业新质生产力水平的统计测度与空间特征研究  

Research on Statistical Measurement and Spatial Characteristics of New-quality Productivity Level of Chinese Logistics Industry

作　　者：韩嵩[1] 王子纯 HAN Song;WANG Zichun(Beijing Wuzi University,Beijing 101149,China)

机构地区：[1]北京物资学院,北京101149

出　　处：《物流技术》2024年第10期1-12,共12页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：在深入探讨物流业新质生产力基本内涵的基础上,构建了一套科学合理的评价指标体系,以我国30个省份为研究对象,采用熵权法测度了2012-2022年我国物流业新质生产力水平。运用Dagum基尼系数及分解法、核密度估计法、空间Markov链模型等方法进一步探究了我国物流业新质生产力的区域差异及时空特征。研究发现:我国物流业新质生产力水平呈稳步上升态势,但区域间发展不平衡,东部地区显著高于其他地区。东部地区与中西部地区存在明显梯度差异,中西部地区存在多极化现象,但我国物流业新质生产力始终保持着前行的状态,各个省份间具有协同效应,高水平省份带动促进低水平省份的发展。根据研究结果提出了促进我国物流业新质生产力水平发展的相关政策建议。The development of new-quality productivity is not only a core driving force for promoting high-quality economic development but also an indispensable key strategy for achieving the grand goal of the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.As a fundamental,strategic,and leading industry and a pillar to the national economy,the logistics industry urgently feels the need for the development of new-quality productivity.This paper delves into the basic connotation of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry and,on this basis,constructs a scientific and reasonable evaluation index system aimed to comprehensively and accurately grasp the current development status,realistic foundation,and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in China,thereby underpinning the accelerated development of the logistics industry.Taking 30 provinces/cities in China as the research object,the entropy weight method is used to measure the level of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in these provinces/cities from 2012 to 2022.This method ensures the objectivity and accuracy of the evaluation results,laying solid foundation for subsequent in-depth analysis.Furthermore,methods such as the Dagum decomposition of the Gini inequality ratio,kernel density estimation method,and spatial Markov chain model are employed to further explore the regional difference and spatiotemporal characteristics of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in China.The research finds that the level of the new-quality productivity of the logistics industry in China shows a steady upward trend,but there is imbalance across the regions,with the eastern region significantly higher than the others;the Gini coefficient analysis identifies regional difference as the main reason for the overall imbalance,which will remind policymakers to pay more attention to narrowing such cross-regional gap.At the same time,the kernel density estimation method is used to analyze the spatial

关 键 词：物流业 新质生产力 空间特征 Dagum基尼系数 核密度估计法 空间Markov链 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]