乡村振兴背景下城乡物流协同发展水平测度  

Measurement of Level of Coordinated Development of Urban and Rural Logistics under Background of Rural Revitalization

作　　者：贾县民 曹学颖 刘晶晶 JIA Xianmin;CAO Xueying;LIU Jingjing(College of Management,Xi'an University of Finance&Economics,Xi'an 710100,China)

机构地区：[1]西安财经大学管理学院,陕西西安710100

出　　处：《物流技术》2024年第10期39-49,共11页Logistics Technology

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目“乡村振兴背景下西部贫困地区农产品供应链韧性测度及转型路径研究”(23XJCZH006);西安市社会科学规划基金课题“西安市物流业双化协同转型机制及提升路径研究”(23JX48)。

摘　　要：基于系统发展视角,使用时间序列计量经济模型和复合系统耦合协调度模型对陕西省城乡物流协同发展水平及动态演化关系进行测度,并构建障碍度模型,探究城镇物流与农村物流协调发展的关键影响因素。研究发现,2013-2023年陕西省城乡物流耦合协调度变化不大,整体水平不高,子系统之间的相互作用尚待加强;城镇物流发展对农村物流发展产生正面积极影响,而农村物流发展对城镇物流发展影响不大;信息化水平、物流需求要素是陕西省城镇物流发展的主要影响因素;农村物流需求要素,尤其是综合市场交易情况以及商品流通要素是影响农村物流发展的主要因素。In this paper,we discussed the relationship between rural revitalization strategy and the coordinated development of urban and rural logistics,pointing out that the coordinated development of urban and rural logistics is not only an important part of the rural revitalization strategy,but also an vital basis to achieve rural industrial prosperity,and promote residents common prosperity and integrated urban and rural development.Secondly,based on the system development perspective,using the time series econometric model and taking Shaanxi Province as an example,we explored the interaction between urban logistics subsystem and rural logistics subsystem.Then,we measured the level and dynamic evolution relationship of urban and rural logistics collaborative development in Shaanxi province using the composite system coupling coordination model,and built a barrier degree model to analyze the key influencing factors of the coordinated development of urban logistics and rural logistics.With full consideration of the differences between rural logistics system and urban logistics system,we respectively constructed the evaluation index system of urban logistics subsystem and rural logistics subsystem from four dimensions of commodity circulation,financial support,information level and logistics demand,used the analytic hierarchy process and the entropy weight-CRITIC method to calculate the weight of each index,and measured and analyzed the development level of urban and rural logistics in Shaanxi Province from 2013 to 2023.Through the above research,we drew the following conclusions.(1)Through interaction analysis,we found that rural logistics is not the Granger cause of urban logistics development,but urban logistics is the Granger cause of rural logistics development.(2)Through synchronous development analysis,we found that urban logistics has positive impact on the development of rural logistics,but rural logistics has little impact on the development of urban logistics.(3)Through collaborative development analysis,we fou

关 键 词：城乡物流 协同发展 复合系统协同度 障碍度因子 水平测度 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济] F323