产业相关多样化对出口韧性的影响  

Impact of Industry-related Diversification on Export Resilience

作　　者：郭将[1] 辛宇 GUO Jiang;XIN Yu(School of Management,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China)

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学管理学院,上海200093

出　　处：《科技与经济》2024年第6期106-110,共5页Science & Technology and Economy

基　　金：上海市“科技创新行动计划”自然科学基金项目——“碳中和目标下的区域碳排放权动态分配及协同减排路径研究”(项目编号:23ZR1444300,项目负责人:潘玲颖)成果之一。

摘　　要：产业相关多样化对地区经济和贸易的发展具有重要作用。在相关研究和理论知识的基础上,梳理已有结论与实证分析,运用2008—2022年各省(区市)面板数据,通过基准回归模型初步判断产业相关多样化与出口韧性的关系,并分区域进行回归以检验其异质性;进一步以地区吸收能力作为调节变量,利用交互项回归模型研究产业相关多样化影响出口韧性的非线性影响机制,主要研究产业相关多样化对出口韧性的影响特征。结果表明:我国产业相关多样化对出口韧性具有显著负向影响,其中西部地区的负向影响更加显著;地区吸收能力具有削弱产业相关多样化对出口韧性的负向影响的调节作用。Industry-related diversification plays a crucial role in the regional economic and trade development.This paper primarily investigates the influence of industry-related diversification on export resilience.Building upon relevant research and theoretical knowledge,existing conclusions and empirical evidence were reviewed;utilizing panel data from provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)between 2008 and 2022 and employing baseline regression model,the relationship between industry-related diversification and export resilience was preliminarily assessed.Regional regression analyses were conducted to test the heterogeneity;furthermore,by employing regional absorptive capacity as a moderating variable,the nonlinear impact mechanism of industry-related diversification on export resilience was explored through interaction term regression models.The results indicate that industry-related diversification in China has a significantly negative effect on export resilience,with the negative impact being more pronounced in western regions.Regional absorptive capacity moderates the negative impact of industry diversification on export resilience.

关 键 词：产业结构 产业相关多样化 出口韧性 吸收能力 调节效应 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]