新质生产力与企业出口产品稳定性  

New Quality Productivity and the Stability of Firms'Export Products

作　　者：于津平[1] 李媚媚 孙楚仁 YU Jinping;LI Meimei;SUN Churen

机构地区：[1]南京大学商学院 [2]广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2024年第11期50-67,共18页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大研究专项“推动‘一带一路’贸易和投资自由化便利化研究:量化评价与推进战略”(18VDL014);国家社会科学基金重大项目“‘一带一路’区域价值链构建与中国产业转型升级”(18ZDA039)。

摘　　要：本文基于2010—2016年中国微观企业数据库,实证检验了新质生产力对我国企业出口产品稳定性的影响。研究表明,新质生产力显著降低了企业出口风险率,提高其出口稳定性,稳健性检验进一步证实了这一结论。异质性检验表明,新质生产力对国有企业、大型企业和东部地区企业的出口稳定性提升效果更为显著。机制分析揭示,新质生产力通过创新提升效应、生产成本削减效应和供应链效率提升效应提高出口稳定性。进一步分析表明,新质生产力引致的出口稳定性增强能够提高企业出口加成率并使出口更加集中。本研究为通过发展新质生产力提升企业出口稳定性提供了证据。Using the China micro-enterprise database from 2010 to 2016,this paper empirically examines the impact of new quality productivity on the stability of Chinese firms'export products.The results indicate that new quality productivity significantly low-ers firms'export risk rates and enhances the stability of their exports,as further corrobora-ted by robustness checks.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the positive effect of new quality productivity on export stability is stronger for state-owned enterprises,large firms,and firms in eastern regions.Mechanism analysis demonstrates that new quality productivi-ty enhances export stability by improving innovation,reducing production costs,and in-creasing supply chain efficiency.Further analysis indicates that increased export stability,driven by new quality productivity,raises firms'export markup rates and results in greater export concentration.This study provides evidence for the role of new quality productivity in enhancing firms export stability.

关 键 词：新质生产力 出口稳定性 生存分析 Cloglog模型 企业创新 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]