数据跨境流动限制如何影响国际服务贸易成本——基于跨国服务业分行业数据的分析  

How Do Cross-border Data Flow Restrictions Affect the Cost of International Tradein Services-Based on Cross-country Sectoral Data in the Services Industry

作　　者：胡宗彪[1] 秦源良 李新[3] HU Zongbiao;QIN Yuanliang;LI Xin

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学工商管理学院 [2]中南财经政法大学服务经济双循环发展研究中心 [3]湖北经济学院、湖北地方税收研究中心

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2024年第11期87-105,共19页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“全球价值链数字化对中国服务业高质量发展的影响及推进策略研究”(23BJL089);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“数字化转型、动态能力与企业生产率:理论机制与中国经验研究”(21YJC790051);中南财经政法大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“数字化转型赋能服务企业生产率提升的效应与机制研究”(2722024BY013)。

摘　　要：本文基于59个国家19个服务业行业之间的双边数据,测度了“出口国—进口国—行业—时间”四维结构的数据跨境流动限制和国际服务贸易成本,系统考察了数据跨境流动限制对国际服务贸易成本的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:数据跨境流动限制显著提高了国际服务贸易成本,在经过一系列稳健性检验和内生性检验后,该结论依然成立;机制检验结果显示,数据跨境流动限制主要通过降低互联网连通性、阻碍信息技术进步并扩大国家间差距、减少服务出口规模三个渠道对国际服务贸易成本产生影响;异质性分析结果显示,高收入国家之间、对外开放度高的国家之间、生产性服务业、基础设施和连接、电子交易领域的数据跨境流动限制对国际服务贸易成本的影响更大。本研究不仅拓展了对国际服务贸易成本的影响因素研究,而且为包括中国在内的世界各国制定数字贸易和服务贸易高质量发展策略,进而推进服务业开放提供了有益的经验证据和政策启示。Utilizing bilateral data from 19 service sectors across 59 countries,this paper measures cross-border data flow restrictions and the cost of international trade in services within a four-dimensional framework of"exporter-importer-industry-time",and systematically examines the impact and mechanisms of cross-border data flow restrictions on those trade costs.The results show that cross-border data flow restrictions significantly increase the cost of international trade in services,and the conclusion supported by a se-ries of robustness and endogeneity test.Mechanism analysis reveals that cross-border data flow restrictions affect the cost of international trade in services through three channels:re-ducing internet connectivity,hindering information technology advancement and widening the gap between countries,as well as shrinking the scale of service exports.Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that the impact of cross-border data flow restrictions on service trade costs is more pronounced among high-income countries,countries with higher open-ness to international markets,productive service industries,and areas related to infra-structure,connectivity,and e-commerce.This study not only expands the research on the determinants of international service trade costs,but also provides valuable empirical evi-dence and policy implications for formulating strategies to promote high-quality develop-ment in digital and service trade,and promoting institutional opening-up in the service in-dustry.

关 键 词：数据跨境流动限制 国际服务贸易成本 数字贸易 制度型开放 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]