数据驱动的繁忙机场航班时刻协调参数峰谷配置方法  

A data-driven peak-valley configuration method of flight slot coordination parameter at busy airport

作　　者：王燚龙 杨磊[1,2] 王梦妃 赵征 WANG Yilong;YANG Lei;WANG Mengfei;ZHAO Zheng(College of Civil Aviation,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China;State Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Management System,Nanjing 211106,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学民航学院,南京211106 [2]空中交通管理系统全国重点实验室,南京211106

出　　处：《中国民航大学学报》2024年第6期17-26,共10页Journal of Civil Aviation University of China

基　　金：江苏省自然科学基金面上项目(BK20231447);南京航空航天大学研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(xcxjh20230742)。

摘　　要：科学地建立多样化航班时刻协调参数峰谷配置方案是提升繁忙机场航班时刻编排灵活性、缓解计划性原生延误的有效手段。本文提出了航班时刻协调参数通用峰谷配置的一般性方法。首先,定义了机场时刻防火带结构,并介绍了航班时刻协调参数通用峰谷配置方案的确定流程;其次,构建了基于计划的机场原生延误预测模型,设计了航班时刻峰谷特征参数与期望延误数据集生成规则;最后,采用了合成少数过采样技术(SMOTE,synthetic minority oversampling technique)和编辑最近邻(ENN,edited nearest neighbors)算法处理数据集类别不平衡的问题,并利用多种决策树分类算法总结出一定延误水平下的机场树型时刻协调参数通用峰谷配置模式集。以上海浦东国际机场为例,验证了机场进离场原生延误模型的预测精度和机场航班时刻协调参数峰谷配置组合提取的准确性,建立了一定延误水平下的树型峰谷配置组合模式集。本文可为机场时刻协调参数精细化设定提供新思路与新方法,为航班时刻优化配置提供理论支持。Scientifically establishing diversified peak-valley configuration schemes of flight slot coordination parameter represents a potent strategy for enhancing the flexibility of flight slot scheduling and alleviating planned primary delays at busy airport.This paper proposes a general method for the generic peak-valley configuration of flight slot coordination parameter.Firstly,the structure of airport slot fire-break is defined,and the determination process of a generic peak-valley configuration scheme of flight slot coordination parameter is introduced.Secondly,a schedule-based prediction model for airport primary delay is developed,along with the design of rules generating peak-valley feature parameters of flight slot and expected delay datasets.Finally,the synthetic minority oversampling technique(SMOTE)and edited nearest neighbors(ENN)algorithm are then employed to address the issue of imbalanced dataset category,and various decision tree classification algorithms are applied to summarize the generic peak-valley configuration pattern set of airport tree-structured slot coordination parameters under a certain level of delay.Taking Shanghai Pudong International Airport as an example,the prediction accuracy of the primary delay model for airport arrival and departure,as well as the accuracy of extracting the airport peak-valley configuration combination of flight slot coordination parameter are verified,and the pattern set of tree-structured peak-valley configuration combination under certain delay level is established.This paper can offer novel insights and methods for the refined setting of airport slot coordination parameter,and providing theoretical support for the optimization and configuration of flight slot.

关 键 词：航班时刻协调参数 时刻防火带 数据驱动 决策树算法 航班管理 

分 类 号：V351[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]