基于区间二型模糊云模型的化工风险评价模型  

Chemical Risk Assessment Model Based on Interval Type II Fuzzy Cloud Model

作　　者：张荣花 安伟 阚哲[2] ZHANG Ronghua;AN Wei;KAN Zhe(Hefei General Vocational and Technical College,Hefei 230031,China;Liaoning Petrochemical University,Fushun Liaoning 113001,China)

机构地区：[1]合肥通用职业技术学院,安徽合肥230031 [2]辽宁石油化工大学,辽宁抚顺113001

出　　处：《佳木斯大学学报（自然科学版）》2024年第11期135-138,共4页Journal of Jiamusi University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：辽宁省教育厅面上项目(JYTMS20231448)。

摘　　要：针对化工生产风险评价方法存在的评价结果单一、不确定等问题,提出基于区间二型模糊云模型化工风险评估方法。采用区间二型模糊AHP方法计算主观权重,采用熵权法获取客观权重,并采用合作对策法确定综合权重;提出基于区间二型模糊AHP的主观权重计算方法。建立了化工风险模糊综合评判模型;应用该方法对环己烷生产流程进行了风险评估,得到安全评价结果证明,该模型能更可靠、更合理地对化工生产过程进行安全等级评判。Aiming at the problems of single and uncertain evaluation results in chemical production risk assessment methods,a chemical risk assessment method based on interval type II fuzzy cloud model is proposed.The subjective weight is calculated by interval type II fuzzy AHP method,the objective weight is obtained by entropy weight method,and the comprehensive weight is determined by cooperative game method.A subjective weight calculation method based on interval type II fuzzy AHP is proposed.The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of chemical risk is established.The risk assessment of cyclohexane production process is carried out by using this method,and the safety evaluation results show that the model can evaluate the safety level of chemical production process more reliably and reasonably.

关 键 词：云模型:区间二型模糊层次分析法 熵权法 合作博弈 环己烷 风险评价 

分 类 号：TE65[石油与天然气工程—油气加工工程]