中国新能源汽车出口泰国的贸易潜力研究  

Research on the Trade Potential of Chinese New Energy Vehicle Exports to Thailand

作　　者：张雯 潘柳榕 周红波 Zhang Wen;Pan Liurong;Zhou Hongbo(School of Economics and Management Beibu Gulf University,Qinzhou GuangXi 535011;Beibu Gulf Research Institute of the New Land-Sea Corridor,Qinzhou GuangXi 535011)

机构地区：[1]北部湾大学经济管理学院,广西钦州535011 [2]北部湾大学陆海新通道北部湾研究院,广西钦州535011

出　　处：《对外经贸》2024年第12期18-23,共6页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

基　　金：广西哲学社会科学研究课题;“西部陆新通道对广西经济的影响测度及区域共建机制研究”(项目编号:22FJL015)。

摘　　要：泰国汽车产业根基深厚、政府政策扶持,了解中国对泰国新能源汽车出口潜力对新能源汽车产业的发展具有重要意义。基于2017—2022年中国对东盟十国新能源汽车产品出口贸易额的面板数据,通过构建贸易引力模型对中国新能源汽车产品出口泰国的贸易潜力进行研究,实证结果表明:双方GDP、人民币对美元汇率以及泰国的贸易开放程度对中国新能源汽车出口泰国起显著促进作用。中国对泰国的出口潜力得到充分利用,需要找寻新的增长点,为巩固并促进中国新能源汽车能出口泰国,提出相关对策建议。Thailand has,a strong foundation in the automotive industry,and supportive government policies.Understanding the potential for China's new energy vehicle(NEV)exports to Thailand is crucial for the development of the NEV industry.This study analyzes the trade potential of Chinese NEV exports to Thailand using panel data on NEV export trade values from China to the ten ASEAN countries from 2017 to 2022.By constructing a gravity model of trade,The empirical results show that the GDP of both countries,the RMB/USD exchange rate,and the trade openness of Thailand significantly promote the export of new energy vehicles from China to Thailand.China's export potential to Thailand has been fully utilized,and it needs to find new growth points,and relevant countermeasures are put forward and suggestions to consolidate and promote the export of China's new energy vehicles to Thailand.

关 键 词：新能源汽车 贸易引力模型 贸易潜力 

分 类 号：F724.6[经济管理—产业经济]