远程鱼雷反潜搜索效能评估研究  

Research on the Assessment of Anti-submarine Search Effectiveness of Long-Range Torpedo

作　　者：罗笛 代志恒 凌佳玉 LUO Di;DAI Zhiheng;LING Jiayu(PLA 92763 Troops,Dalian 116041,China;Jiangsu Automation Research Institute,Lianyungang 222061,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民解放军92763部队,辽宁大连116041 [2]江苏自动化研究所,江苏连云港222061

出　　处：《现代防御技术》2024年第6期120-128,共9页Modern Defence Technology

摘　　要：针对模拟法占用计算资源较多的问题,构建了一种远程鱼雷反潜搜索效能评估模型。依据反潜作战的战技术需求和远程鱼雷搜索发现原理,深入分析了巡逻搜索和应召搜索下的目标位置散布,进而以发现概率作为搜潜效能指标,构建了远程鱼雷反潜搜索效能评估模型。在典型反潜作战场景下,分别运用搜潜效能评估模型和模拟法,进行远程鱼雷反潜搜索仿真试验,试验结果表明,巡逻搜潜效率随远程鱼雷数量和平均航速增加而提高,随任务区域面积增大而降低;应召搜潜效率随远程鱼雷平均航速增加而提高。该模型的计算值与仿真试验结果具有较好的一致性。In accordance with the difficulties posed by the substantial usage of computing resources for simulation methods,this study presents an analytic model that specifically examines the effectiveness of long-range torpedo anti-submarine search operations.The dispersion of target locations during patrol search and on-call search is meticulously examined,taking into consideration the tactical requirements and the detection principle in the process of long-range torpedo attack.Furthermore,the analytic model of long-range torpedo anti-submarine search effectiveness is constructed with the detection probability serving as the primary indicator.Realistic anti-submarine combat scenarios are employed to apply both the analytic model and simulation method,which results in a simulation test of the long-distance torpedo anti-submarine search.The findings of the test reveal that patrol search efficiency improves with an increase in the number and average speed of long-range torpedoes,but decreases with an increase in the mission area.On the other hand,on-call search efficiency improves with an increase in the average speed of long-range torpedoes.The calculated values derived from the model align well with the results of the simulation method.

关 键 词：远程鱼雷 反潜作战 效能分析 发现概率 目标位置散布 

分 类 号：TJ630[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程] TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]