远洋船舶甲醇燃料加注市场预测与产业风险  

Market Prediction and Industry Risks of Methanol Fuel Bunkering for Ocean-going Ships

作　　者：杨学利 夏华波[1] 李牧 赵云飞 吴福龙 YANG Xueli;XIA Huabo;LI Mu;ZHAO Yunfei;WU Fulong(CNOOC Energy Technology&Services-Oil Production Services Co.,Tianjin 300452,China)

机构地区：[1]中海油能源发展股份有限公司采油服务分公司,天津300452

出　　处：《天津科技》2024年第12期24-27,31,共5页Tianjin Science & Technology

摘　　要：基于“双碳”背景,搜集全球范围内的甲醇动力船舶的订单信息、船舶技术信息、航线信息,运用统计学原理与方法,预测2030年服务于国内重点水域港口的集装箱船、散货船、油轮等甲醇燃料动力船舶的加注规模,分析加注产业潜在风险,并给出应对措施。结果表明,甲醇价格是关键因素,但甲醇动力船依然未来可期,研究成果可为甲醇燃料加注船舶设计、研发提供借鉴。Based on the“dual carbon”background,by collecting the order information,technical information and route information of methanol-powered ships all over the world,the principles and methods of statistics are used to predict the bunkering scale of the methanol-powered ships serving key domestic waters in 2030,such as container ships,bulk cargo ships and oil tankers.The potential risks of methanol fuel bunkering industry are analyzed and countermeasures are given.The results show that the price of methanol is the critical factor,but the future of methanol-powered ships is still promising.The research results can be used as a reference for the design and development of methanol bunkering ships.

关 键 词：甲醇燃料 市场预测 风险 

分 类 号：U677.2[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]