演化博弈视角下的AI决策与人类决策——探索可持续发展的新可能  

Artificial intelligence decision-making and human decision-making from an evolutionary game perspective:exploring new pathways for sustainable development

作　　者：李红霞[1,2] 谢灿 田水承 LI Hongxia;XIE Can;TIAN Shuicheng(School of Management,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710054,China;School of Safety Science and Engineering,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710054,China)

机构地区：[1]西安科技大学管理学院,西安710054 [2]西安科技大学安全科学与工程学院,西安710054

出　　处：《安全与环境学报》2024年第12期4917-4926,共10页Journal of Safety and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(51874237);国家社科基金项目(20XGL025)。

摘　　要：随着环境压力的不断增大,探讨如何在促进可持续发展的同时促进经济增长变得十分迫切。在这种情况下,人工智能(Artificial Intelligence,AI)技术的突破性进展为促进可持续发展开辟了新路径。研究探讨了AI决策系统与人类决策系统在促进可持续发展中作为决策者的特点及其相互作用。通过采用演化博弈论框架并结合前景理论和心理账户理论,研究设计了一系列参数以模拟人类作为非理性决策者的行为。研究结果显示,AI在决策效率和逻辑推理方面表现优越,但人类在考虑道德和整体状况方面具有独特优势。此外,研究进一步探索了将AI与人类决策结合使用的协同潜力,发现企业使用AI决策配合政府的人类决策,比单独使用AI或人类决策时更有助于实现绿色协同发展。研究认为结合AI的技术优势和人类的洞察力,是有效应对环境挑战和推动可持续增长的关键。As environmental challenges intensify,there is a growing demand for strategies that not only foster economic growth but also promote sustainable development.In light of these urgent issues,the rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence(AI)technology presents innovative solutions that can make a substantial impact on sustainability initiatives.This study examines the interactions between AI-based decision-making systems and those guided by human judgment in the context of sustainable development.Utilizing evolutionary game theory,along with concepts from prospect theory and mental accounting,the research conducted a series of simulations in MATLAB to model the behavior of human decision-makers,especially when they make irrational choices.In scenarios where AI facilitates decision-making,both businesses and governments utilize AI to evaluate a range of influencing factors—including additional benefits,tax structures,regulatory costs,and environmental impacts—on their strategic choices.Conversely,in scenarios driven by human decision-making,these entities depend on human insights to address the irrational tendencies identified in prospect theory and mental accounting.They evaluate how factors such as decision sensitivity,risk preferences,and potential damage to reputation influence outcomes.The findings highlight AI s exceptional capability to improve decision-making speed and logical analysis,especially when managing large datasets and rapidly identifying changes in environmental conditions and market trends.In contrast,human decision-making excels in areas that require a deeper consideration of ethics,complexity,and reputation,making it essential for addressing broader moral and contextual issues.The unique contribution of this paper lies in its use of simulation analysis to investigate the performance of the two decision-making systems under varying parameters.This approach reveals the dynamic process of strategy selection rather than simply presenting generalized conclusions.Furthermore,this paper not only

关 键 词：环境科学技术基础科学 可持续发展 前景理论 心理账户理论 演化博弈理论 

分 类 号：X324[环境科学与工程—环境工程]