中国对RCEP伙伴蔬菜出口贸易效率及贸易潜力研究  

Study on Trade Efficiency and Trade Potential of China’s Vegetable Exports to RCEP Partners

作　　者：万歆钰 穆月英[1] WAN Xinyu;MU Yueying(College of Economics&Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《中国蔬菜》2024年第12期1-10,共10页China Vegetables

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71773121);现代农业产业技术体系北京市产业经济与政策创新团队项目(BAIC11-2023)。

摘　　要：中国是世界第一大蔬菜生产国,蔬菜也是中国农产品的主要出口品类,2022年占农产品出口总额的16.157%。RCEP协定签署与生效的背景下,探究中国与各伙伴国间的蔬菜贸易状况与潜力对深化出口积极效应,提升中国蔬菜国际竞争力具有重要意义。采用2006—2022年中国对RCEP伙伴蔬菜出口贸易面板数据,构建随机前沿引力模型与贸易非效率模型,实证分析中国对RCEP伙伴的贸易效率及相关影响因素,并测算各国出口潜力。结果表明,中国和RCEP伙伴的经济水平、人口规模、经济差距、蔬菜单产和贸易环境均对蔬菜出口具有显著性影响;RCEP伙伴的法治水平、经济制度环境以及基础设施水平对蔬菜出口效率具有积极影响,而出口目的地的廉洁水平以及政府效率的提升反而不利于贸易效率的提高;中国对RCEP伙伴蔬菜出口历年的平均效率为0.667,但RCEP伙伴内部各国别间存在较大差异。中国应继续提高蔬菜出口质量,加快推进RCEP协定内容的落实并持续拓展与RCEP伙伴的合作深度与广度以减少贸易阻力,促进蔬菜出口规模的进一步增长。China is the world’s largest producer of vegetables,with vegetables being the primary export category of Chinese agricultural products,accounting for 16.157%of agricultural exports in 2022.In the context of the RCEP agreement’s signing and implementation,it is highly significant to explore the status and potential of China’s vegetable trade with its partners to deepen the positive effects of exports and enhance the international competitiveness of Chinese vegetables.The study utilizes panel data of China’s vegetable export trade to RCEP partners from 2006 to 2022,constructs a stochastic frontier gravity model and a trade inefficiency model,empirically analyzes China’s trade efficiency and its influencing factors with respect to RCEP partners,and measures the export potential of each country.The results indicate that the economic level,population size,economic disparity,vegetable yields,and trade environment of China and RCEP partners significantly impact vegetable exports.The rule of law,economic institutional environment,and infrastructure level of RCEP partners positively influence the efficiency of vegetable exports.However,the level of integrity in export destinations and improvements in government efficiency,conversely,negatively affect trade efficiency.The average efficiency of China’s vegetable exports to RCEP partners over the years is 0.667,though there are significant differences among the countries within the RCEP partnership.China should continue to enhance the quality of its vegetable exports,expedite the implementation of the RCEP agreement,and further expand the depth and breadth of its cooperation with RCEP partners to reduce trade resistance and promote the continued growth of vegetable export volumes.

关 键 词：蔬菜出口贸易 RCEP 随机前沿引力模型 贸易效率 

分 类 号：F326.13[经济管理—产业经济] F752.62