生产要素集约分类视角下制造业碳排放影响因素研究  

Research on the Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions in Manufacturing Industry from the Perspective of Production Factors Intensive Classification

作　　者：张艳[1] 梁浩杰 ZHANG Yan;LIANG Haojie(School of Economics,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《上海节能》2024年第12期1957-1964,共8页Shanghai Energy Saving

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区社科基金新时代党的治疆方略研究专项《中国式现代化视域下铸牢中华民族共同体意识研究》(2022VZJ010)。

摘　　要：中国制造业产生的碳排放对环境造成的影响不容忽视,基于此将制造业按生产要素密集度划分为劳动密集型产业、资本密集型产业和技术密集型产业,运用LMDI分解技术将2009-2021年各年份之间三类产业的碳排放累积效应进行因素分解。结果表明,资本密集型产业的总效应最大,能源强度效应、能源结构效应、从业规模效应均对资本密集型产业和劳动密集型产业的碳排放产生负向效应,行业产出效应则表现为正向效应。技术密集型产业仅能源结构为负向效应,其余因素呈现正向效应。在各类影响因素的变化趋势与幅度上,资本密集型产业和劳动密集型产业的四类因素都未呈现线性变化趋势,且逐年的变化幅度均相对较大,而技术密集型产业的变化趋势大致呈现线性变化,且变化幅度较为稳定。因此,优化能源结构、调整产业的人员配置、提升技术水平、推动产业转型升级是促进制造业降碳减排的有利对策。The impact of carbon emissions generated by China's manufacturing industry on the environment cannot be ignored.Based on this,the manufacturing industry is divided into labor-intensive industries,capital-intensive industries and technology-intensive industries according to factor intensity.LMDl decomposition technology is used to factor the cumulative effect of carbon emissions of three types of industries between various years-from 2009 to 2021.The results show that the total effect of capital-intensive industries is the largest.The energy intensity effect,energy structure effect and employment scale effect all have negative effects on the carbon emissions of capital-intensive industries and labor-intensive industries,while the industry output effect is positive.In technology-intensive industries,only the energy structure has a negative effect,while the other factors have a positive effect.In terms of the change trends and magnitudes of various influencing factors,none of thefour types of factors in capital-intensive industries and labor-intensive industries show a linear change trend,and the year-on-year changes are relatively large,while the change trends of technology-intensive industries show a linear change and the change range is relatively stable.Therefore,optimizing the energy structure,adjusting the staffing of the industry,improvingtechnological levels,and promoting industrial transfor mation and upgrading are favorable countermeasures to promote carbon reduction and emission reduction in themanufacturing industry.

关 键 词：生产要素密集度 制造业 碳排放因素 LMDI 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F424[经济管理—产业经济]