2024年经济形势分析和2025年经济走势预测  

Analysis of the Economic Situation in 2024 and Forecast of Economic Trend in 2025

作　　者：祝宝良[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家信息中心经济预测部,100045

出　　处：《中国房地产金融》2024年第6期3-12,共10页China Real Estate Finance

摘　　要：2024年初以来,中国经济在经历疫情后的修复阶段后趋于稳定,但经济增速略有放缓,主要面临着有效需求不足、部分企业生产经营困难、群众就业收入面临较大压力、风险隐患较多、国际不利因素对我国的影响加深且不确定性大等这几个方面的问题。本文对2024年以来我国经济形势和存在问题进行了分析,提出了宏观经济政策和目标建议,并通过梳理中央经济工作会议提出的下一步工作任务,对2025年经济走势作了预测。Since the beginning of 2024,China’s economy has stabilized after the post-pandemic recovery phase,but the growth rate has slightly slowed down.It is mainly confronted with several issues:insufficient effective demand,operational difficulties for some enterprises,significant pressure on employment and income for the public,numerous risk factors,and deepening and highly uncertain adverse international influences on China.This paper analyzes China’s economic situation and existing problems since 2024,puts forward macroeconomic policies and target suggestions,and forecasts the economic trend in 2025 by sorting out the next work tasks proposed by the Central Economic Work Conference.

关 键 词：经济形势 宏观经济政策和目标 工作任务 经济走势 

分 类 号：F201[经济管理—国民经济]