省域新质生产力发展水平测度、时空特征及其影响因素  

Measurement,Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Development Level of New Quality Productive Forces at the Provincial Level

作　　者：吉雪强 贺志浩 李卓群 张跃松[1] JI Xueqiang;HE Zhihao;LI Zhuoqun;ZHANG Yuesong(School of Public Administration and Policy,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学公共管理学院,北京100872

出　　处：《经济地理》2024年第11期104-112,共9页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72274207);中国人民大学2023年度拔尖创新人才培育资助计划。

摘　　要：文章构建新质生产力发展水平综合评价指标体系,利用超效率SBM-DEA模型、熵权—TOPSIS方法、探索性空间数据分析方法、时空地理加权回归模型,分析2013—2022年中国新质生产力时空演化特征及其影响因素,并探讨不同影响因素作用的时空差异。研究发现:(1)新质生产力发展水平呈上升趋势,空间呈“东高西低”分布,新质生产力水平空间差异明显;(2)新质生产力发展存在显著正向空间自相关和空间集聚,其中高—高集聚区以东部沿海省份为主,低—低集聚区以西部为主,近年来新质生产力空间绝对差异扩大;(3)经济、教育、政策和资源因素对新质生产力具有影响,国内经济发展水平、对外贸易水平、整体教育投入水平、高等教育发展水平、政策关注度整体对新质生产力产生正向影响,水资源拥有量、矿产资源拥有量整体产生负向影响,且各因素影响存在时空差异。This article constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system of the development level of new quality productive forces.Based on the super-efficiency SBM-DEA model,the entropy weight-TOPSIS method,exploratory spatial data analysis methods,and spatiotemporal geographical weighted regression models,it analyzes the evolution characteristics and influencing factors of China's new quality productive forces from 2013 to 2022,and explores the spatiotemporal differences in the impact of different influencing factors.It's found that:1)The development level of new quality productive forces shows an upward trend,with a spatial distribution pattern of"high in the east of China and low in the west of China",and significant spatial differences in the level of new quality productive forces.2)The development of new quality productive forces exhibits significant positive spatial autocorrelation and spatial clustering,with high-high clustering areas mainly located in the eastern coastal regions and low-low clustering areas mainly in the western regions.The absolute spatial differences in new quality productive forces have expanded in recent years.3)Economic,educational,policy,and resource factors influence new qualitative productivity.Domestic economic development levels,foreign trade levels,overall educational investment levels,higher education development levels,and the overall policy focus have a positive impact on new qualitative productivity,while the availability of water resources and mineral resources has an overall negative impact.Additionally,the influence of various factors varies across time and space.

关 键 词：新质生产力 高质量发展 科技生产力 绿色生产力 数字生产力 教育 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]