粤港澳大湾区—东盟蓝色经济合作研究——基于空间关联分析的视角  

Research on blue economy cooperation between Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and ASEAN:Perspective based on spatial linkages analysis

作　　者：单菁菁[1,2] 杨丰玮 王旭阳 SHAN Jing-jing;YANG Feng-wei;WANG Xu-yang

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院 [2]中国社会科学院生态文明研究所

出　　处：《城市问题》2024年第10期17-26,共10页Urban Problems

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大研究专项(23VHQ019);中国社会科学院智库基础研究项目(ZKJC241208)——“基于流域的生态文明建设理论研究”。

摘　　要：在全球经济格局重构的背景下,推进蓝色经济合作已成为促进区域一体化发展的重要力量。粤港澳大湾区与东盟国家之间的蓝色经济合作具有巨大的潜力和广阔的前景。采用引力模型和社会网络分析方法研究粤港澳大湾区—东盟国家区域间蓝色经济合作的空间关联性及其网络结构,分析具备合作潜力的海洋产业和蓝色经济的转型压力,探讨粤港澳大湾区与东盟国家在蓝色经济领域的合作趋势与路径。研究发现,合作区蓝色经济关联网络密度整体偏低,超过三分之二的蓝色经济联系尚具有较大开发潜力。泰国、粤港澳大湾区和印度尼西亚在合作区蓝色经济网络中处于核心位置,是合作区内蓝色经济发展的“引领者”;越南、新加坡、菲律宾和柬埔寨在合作网络中处于边缘位置,是区域蓝色经济合作的“追随者”。合作区内各节点网络强度差异较大,表明区域内蓝色经济合作处于非均衡状态,一体化水平有待加强。同时,凝聚子群分析结果显示,完善合作机制、搭建合作平台对促进粤港澳大湾区与东盟国家的蓝色经济合作具有重要作用。基于研究结论,提出进一步发挥粤港澳大湾区的核心作用、推进构建粤港澳大湾区—东盟蓝色经济伙伴关系的政策建议。Against the backdrop of the restructuring of the global economic landscape,the promotion of blue economy co-operation has become an important force in promoting regional integration and development.Blue economy cooperation between Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao Greater Bay Area and ASEAN countries has great potential and broad prospects.The thesis adopts gravity model and social network analysis to reveal the spatial correlation of blue economy cooperation between Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao Greater Bay Area and ASEAN countries and its network structure,to analyse the marine industries with potential for cooperation and the pressure of transformation of the blue economy,and to explore the trend and path of cooperation between the Greater Bay Area and ASEAN in the field of blue economy.The study finds that the overall density of the blue economy network in the co-operation area is low,and more than two-thirds of the blue economy links still have large development potential;Thailand,Guangdong,Hong Kong,Macao and Indonesia are at the core of the blue economy network in the co-operation area,and are the‘leaders’in blue economy development in the co-operation area,while Vietnam,Singapore,the Philippines and Cambodia are at the centre of the co-operation network,The Philippines and Cambodia are at the periphery of the co-operation network and are the‘followers’of the regional blue economy co-operation;the network strength of the nodes in the co-operation area varies greatly,indicating that the blue economy co-operation in the region is in an unbalanced state,and the degree of integration needs to be strengthened;at the same time,the results of cohesive subgroup analysis show that perfecting the co-operation mechanism and building a co-operation Meanwhile,the results of cohesive subgroup analysis show that improving the cooperation mechanism and building a cooperation platform play an important role in promoting the blue economy cooperation between Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao Greater Bay Area and ASEAN countr

关 键 词：蓝色经济 社会网络分析 合作空间关联 粤港澳大湾区 东盟 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] P74[天文地球—海洋科学]