农业转移人口市民化与家庭化迁移——基于中国流动人口动态监测调查数据的实证研究  

Rural Migrants’Citizenization and Family Migration——Empirical Analysis Based on China Migrants Dynamic Survey

作　　者：刘玉[1] 邹碧莹 Liu Yu;Zou Biying

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学应用经济学院,北京100872

出　　处：《学术研究》2024年第12期81-88,177,178,共10页Academic Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“系统观视角下推进以人为核心的新型城镇化战略突破研究”(22ZDA056)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：提高农业转移人口家庭福祉是推进中国式现代化的必然要求。基于中国流动人口动态监测调查中户籍人口与流动人口对比数据,本文从公共服务可得性视角考察农业转移人口市民化对其家庭化迁移的影响。结果表明,市民化水平的提高能够降低独自迁移、非核心家庭式迁移、半核心家庭式迁移等非完整化迁移的概率,提高完整核心家庭式迁移的概率,影响途径为增强农业转移人口在当地的归属感。市民化对家庭化迁移完整度的促进作用在不同受教育程度群体中差异不大,但在流动时长、照顾父母便利性等方面存在显著性差异。在即期收益、长期收益及成本的综合作用下,就业、住房、医疗市民化程度对更完整迁移具有显著的正向促进作用,社会保障市民化有正向促进作用但不显著,教育市民化则对不完整迁移具有显著的正向作用。在较高生活成本下,通过先行不完整迁移获得代际流动长期效用,成为农业转移人口的一种选择。Improving the well-being of rural migrants’families is an important part of modernization.Based on the comparative volumes of registered residence and migrant residents in the China Migrants Dynamic Survey,this paper studies the impact of citizenization on the completeness of rural migrants’family migration from the perspective of the availability of public services.The study finds that the improvement of citizenization level can reduce the probability of choosing incomplete migration such as solo-migration,non-core family migration and semi-core family migration,and increase the probability of choosing complete core family migration.The impact pathway is the sense of belonging in the local area.The promotion effects of citizenization on complete family migration are almost the same between groups with different education levels,but there are significant differences when it comes to the mobility duration and convenience of taking care of parents.Under the combined effects of immediate benefits,long-term benefits and costs,the level of employment,housing and healthcare citizenization have a significant positive promoting effect respectively,while the overall positive promoting effect of social security citizenization is positive,but not significant.The level of education citizenization has a significant positive effect on incomplete family migration,indicating that obtaining long-term benefits of intergenerational mobility through incomplete migration under higher living costs is a better choice.

关 键 词：农业转移人口 市民化 公共服务均等化 家庭化迁移 

分 类 号：F328[经济管理—产业经济]